Not vested. From Dr. Check:-
Promised land amid turbulence
Wednesday, June 18, 2008
Many investors are keen on mainland property shares, which have declined 30-60 percent from their peaks reached in October.
But actual unit prices have not plunged because the general housing demand in the mainland remains stable.
It is likely to stay that way for the next 10-20 years as more people move from rural to urban areas.
So, mainland property picks remain very viable.
Obviously in the short term there may be hiccups and some stocks have yet to reach their bottom. But some shares look reasonable.
China Overseas Land & Investment (0688) is one of them. The developer's net profit soared 76 percent to HK$4.18 billion in 2007 from the previous year, and turnover jumped 52 percent to HK$16.63 billion. Operating profit increased by 108 percent to HK$7.1 billion.
With a land reserve of 26 million square meters spanning 21 mainland cities, earnings per share are expected to witness a compound annual growth rate of 32 percent.
The company has low gearing and is more resilient to prevailing credit tightening measures.
Citigroup has a "buy" on the stock and targets HK$16.83.
Citi said the company has already achieved contracted sales of 4.3 billion yuan (HK$4.87 billion) in the first quarter, up strongly from 1.3 billion yuan during the same period last year.
It has cash on hand of 8.57 billion yuan.
The stock is down 40 percent from its October peak. Below HK$12, it looks attractive.