by winston » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:47 am
vested
Streak of earnings decline continues; Lowering Estimates
CHST reported 1H12 net profit Rmb96 mn, down Rmb190 mn or 66% YoY (74% if excluding one-time loss from 1H11 results). The sharp earnings deterioration was driven by a substantial increase in financing expense (Rmb139 mn higher) and SG&A expense (84 mn higher), although the company's top line still saw 3.5% growth YoY and gross margin was mostly flat vs 1H11 (26.0% vs 26.4%).
As of 30 June 2012, CHST's debt was Rmb9.1 bn (Rmb6.8 bn in net debt), resulting in debt to EBITDA of over 7x and net debt/equity of 89%. Its short-term debt now accounts for 80% of total debt, up substantially from 65.5% in 1H11, which could lead to refinancing risk, in our view.
CHST achieved strong results in the overseas market in 1H12. Export accounted for 27.9% vs 15.2% in 1H11, also adding Alstom and Suzlon in its list of overseas customers.
We revise down our 2012/13 earnings slightly to reflect the higher-than-expected expenses. We believe China's wind market will continue to be plagued by grid connection issues. Maintain UNDERPERFORM.
Source: Credit Suisse
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"