China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Fri Aug 26, 2022 3:35 pm

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China Life Insurance (2628 HK / 601628 CH): <Results first take> [b]1H22 VNB down 13.8% y-o-y, better than expectation [HOLD, TP HK$13.00 / SELL, TP RMB11.40][/b]

China Life announced 1H22 result which posted net profits attributable to shareholders of Rmb 25.4bn, down 38% y-o-y, in-line with consensus. The net profit decline was primarily due to the decrease in investment income.

Value of new business (VNB) dropped 13.8% y-o-y which is better than expected.

Product mix saw continuous progress, first-year regular premiums of ten years or longer product up 4.4% y-o-y to Rmb 30bn, while premiums from new policies rose 4.1% to Rmb 139bn.

Investment income down 15.6% to Rmb 93bn with gross/net investment yield of 4.15%/4.21% in 1H22. The underperforming investment result was due to the volatility in equity market and 1H21 high base.

The insurer’s core and comprehensive solvency ratios were at 169.05% and 235.56% respectively, much higher than the regulatory requirement.

Source: DBS
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Tue Jan 10, 2023 10:24 am

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China Life Insurance (2628 HK / 601628 CH) - Easing headwinds in 2023

With increasing demand for protection and wealth management by China’s rising middle class, China Life is one of the key beneficiaries of this medium-term growth trend as a leading domestic life insurer with ~15-20% estimated market share.

The regulatory shift towards more long-term and protection product mix is positive for future margins but the transition to the new business model and transformation process led by new management may be bumpy amidst the current challenging operating environment hampered by concerns from volatile equity markets and impact on face-to-face sales recovery following the Covid-19 pandemic in China over the past few years.

Looking ahead, the re-opening should support a gradual recovery over the course of the year although demand for longer term protection products remain soft and will need time for consumer confidence to be rebuilt.

Dividend payout ratio as of end FY21 was 36%. BUY (2628 HK) / SELL (601628 CH).

Source: OCBC
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 30, 2023 2:16 pm

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CHINA LIFE Expects Renewal Premiums to Further Drop This Yr, Return to Positive Growth in 2024

CHINA LIFE (02628.HK)'s renewal premiums eroded 3.7% on a YoY basis in 2022.

The group's president Zhao Peng anticipated that the renewal premiums will likely further decrease in 2023, before turning around to a positive growth in 2024 and driving the expansion of total premiums.

CHINA LIFE's vice president Liu Hui, on the other hand, mentioned that, at the moment, the group's overseas investments account for not more than 1.5% of its total investments and that the group is not directly exposed to the crisis surrounding Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Credit Suisse.

Related News: CLSA Rates CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) at Underperform on Weaker-than-expected Results

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... 256515/all
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 30, 2023 2:21 pm

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G Sachs Notes Misses in CHINA LIFE (02628.HK)'s 2022 Profit and Weak Investment Income

In a recent research report, Goldman Sachs noted that net profit of CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) fell 37% year-on-year to RMB32.1 billion in 2022, weaker than expectations of both the broker and market consensus.

4Q22 investment income also missed expectations and caused shareholders' equity to drop 4%.

The broker highlighted that although the net profit of CHINA LIFE was lower than expected, it plans to pay a full-year dividend of RMB0.49 per share, which is broadly in line with expectations, implying a dividend payout ratio of 43%, higher than its historical dividend payout ratio of about 35%.

Given that CHINA LIFE has maintained a stable dividend payout ratio, the broker would focus on management plans to structurally increase the dividend payout ratio.

Goldman Sachs gave a Buy rating on CHINA LIFE's H-shares and a target price of HKD16.

AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... 256481/all
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 30, 2023 2:24 pm

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CLSA Rates CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) at Underperform on Weaker-than-expected Results

CHINA LIFE (02628.HK)'s 2022 results were considered to be weaker-than-consensus across various metrics, CLSA commented.

The new business value (NBV) of the group dropped 20% YoY, implying a deteriorating trend in 3Q22 and 4Q22.

The 2H22 embedded value also declined, with the DPS contracting by 25%.

Despite the higher-than-historical-average dividend payout ratio, the life business of the group will likely continue to face headwinds.

Related NewsC: HINA LIFE Annual Net Profit RMB32.082B, Down 36.8%; Final Div RMB49 Fen

CLSA rated CHINA LIFE at Underperform, with a target price of $12.4.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... 256476/all
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Mon Apr 03, 2023 10:24 am

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Sacrificing 4Q22 for 1Q23F?

4Q22 NBV deteriorated compared to 3Q22. We think 4Q22’s NBV may have been adversely affected by a heavy focus on 1Q23F sales campaigns.

We think monthly premium growth could lag behind peers in mid-late-2023F due to slower renewal premium growth from maturing insurance policies.

Reiterate Add rating. TP cut 15% to HK$17.

Source: CIMB

https://rfs.cgs-cimb.com/api/download?f ... 2F96F221D9
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Tue May 09, 2023 3:10 pm

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CHINA LIFE(2628)

Analysis:

China Life Insurance (hereinafter referred to as "CL") is a leading enterprise in the domestic life insurance industry and the largest life insurance company in China.

It has the most extensive distribution network in China consisting of insurance marketers, group insurance salesmen and professional and part-time agencies.

It is a leading supplier of personal and group life insurance and annuity products, accident insurance and health insurance in China.

The controlling shareholder of China Life Insurance is CL Group, with a shareholding ratio of 68.37% and an H-share ratio of 25.92%.

The total shareholding of the top 10 shareholders exceeds 97%, and the equity is relatively concentrated and stable.

The controlling shareholder of CL Group is the Ministry of Finance of China, accounting for 90%, and the actual controller of CL is the Ministry of Finance.

As a super large financial central enterprise, CL has strong comprehensive strength and natural political advantages, which can firmly grasp development opportunities in serving national strategies.

In addition to its main business of personal insurance, CL also holds or participates in companies such as CL Asset Management, Property and Casualty Insurance, and Guangfa Bank, promoting collaborative development within the group.

Strategy:
Buy-in Price: $15.25, Target Price: $18.20, Cut Loss Price: $13.60

Source: Phillips
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Tue Aug 29, 2023 10:33 am

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China Life Insurance (2628 HK / 601628 CH) - Solid VNB and agent productivity growth offset by lower investment returns

We expect China Life to be a key beneficiary of the medium-term growth trend of increasing demand for protection and wealth management by China’s rising middle class, given that it is a leading domestic life insurer with ~15-20% estimated market share.

The regulatory shift towards more long-term and protection product mix is positive for future margins but the transition to the new business model and transformation process led by new management may be bumpy amidst the current challenging operating environment hampered by volatile equity market conditions and impact on face-to-face sales recovery following the Covid-19 pandemic in China over the past few years.

Looking ahead, the reopening should support a gradual recovery over the course of the year although demand for longer-term protection products remains soft and will need time for consumer confidence to be rebuilt. BUY (2628 HK) / SELL (601628 CH).

Source: OCBC
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Fri Oct 27, 2023 7:39 am

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CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) 3Q23 NP RMB53M, Down 99% YoY

CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) announced a net profit of RMB53 million for the third quarter ended September, down 99.1% YoY, according to China Accounting Standards.

Operating revenue amounted to RMB155.738 billion, down 9.8% YoY.

Dividend History
Announce Date Event Particular
2023/08/23 Interim No Dividend
2023/04/27 Quarter 1 No Dividend
2023/03/29 Final D:RMB 0.4900(equivalent to HKD 0.53321)
2022/10/27 Quarter 3 No Dividend

Net profit for the first three quarters amounted to RMB16.209 billion, down 47.8% YoY, due to the impact of the equity market staying at the low level and the decline in investment income.

Operating revenue was RMB709.333 billion, up 1.2% YoY.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
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Re: China Life 2628; ADR (LFC)

Postby winston » Fri Oct 27, 2023 1:56 pm

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Broker│Opinion

Daiwa│Net profit dragged down by declining equity portfolio

UBS│Slightly weaker than expected quarterly results, limited impact of tightened regulation

Morgan Stanley│Earnings pressure persists

JPMorgan│Significant pressure on quarterly earnings offset positive life insurance growth momentum

Citi│Modest quarterly results as expected, targeting NBV growth and productivity improvement next year

Nomura│NBV in line with expectations, net profit lower than expected

Goldman Sachs│Weak investment results weighed on earnings

Bank of America Securities│VNBV declined as expected, earnings performance weaker than expected

HSBC Global Research│Limited visibility

Jefferies│Missing profit due to poor investment performance

Related News- G Sachs Revises Down CHINA LIFE (02628.HK) TP to $14.5; Last Q Earnings Miss

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
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