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<Research> M Stanley: CATL (03750.HK) Next-Generation Condensed-State Battery to Boost Profitability; Raises TP to HKD695
Morgan Stanley said in a research report that CATL (03750.HK) unveiled its next-generation condensed-state battery at the Beijing Auto Show, setting a new benchmark for luxury electric vehicle models and accelerating the electrification of the luxury vehicle segment.
The broker believes that high-end batteries command higher average selling prices, while luxury electric vehicle sales are typically less price-sensitive.
As the contribution from premium solutions such as the Qilin battery and condensed-state battery increases, the company's overall profit margin should benefit even if pricing in the mass market remains competitive.
M Stanley expects the condensed-state battery to further solidify CATL's dominant position in the high-end electric vehicle battery market, including luxury and ultra-luxury brands, helping the company expand its lead in long-range and high-performance applications where technological barriers are the highest.
The broker forecasts that from 2026 to 2028, annual high-end deployment of the company's electric vehicle batteries will reach 50 to 80 gigawatt-hours, and is expected to exceed 100 gigawatt-hours in the long term.
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On the back of rising high-end penetration, Morgan Stanley raised its EBITDA forecasts for CATL by 6%, 8% and 9% for 2026 to 2028, respectively.
Earnings forecasts for the same period were lifted by 6.5%, 9% and 10%, respectively.
The broker increased its H-share TP to HKD695 from HKD655 and maintained an Equalweight rating. It also raised the A-share TP for CATL (300750.SZ) to RMB560 from RMB530 and reiterated an Overweight rating.
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Source: AASTOCKS Financial News
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... stock-news
