by winston » Fri Dec 18, 2020 8:58 pm
not vested
Facebook: It Will Come Back, Per Diem
Everybody hates Facebook right now. If you have profits, sell now. Then put it on the buy list.
There are reasons the stock is under short-term pressure.
The Federal Trade Commission, and 48 states, filed suit Dec. 9 to make Facebook sell Instagram and Whatsapp, acquisitions the FTC previously approved. It’s part of a global campaign to rein in the power of “Big Tech,” which now threatens even the most powerful governments.
China is rewriting its antitrust rules to go after its Cloud Emperors – Alibaba Group Holding (NASDAQ:BABA), Tencent Group Holding (OTMKTS:TCEHY) and Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU). The west is doing the same against Cloud Czars Facebook, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL,NASDAQ:GOOG) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), whose free and low-cost services have transformed the global economy over the last decade.
The European Union has filed antitrust charges against Amazon over its use of data. India has filed an antitrust suit against Alphabet over Google Pay.
None of these suits ask, let alone answer, the key question Facebook answers. Who, or what, will pay for the clouds?
Facebook’s answer was cash flow, from free ad-supported services. It took a huge risk, but invited the world to join it, with an Open Compute Project to reduce cloud construction costs. The instructions for building a bigger, better, and cheaper cloud, in other words, are freely available.
Did AT&T (NYSE:T) take advantage of this opportunity? No. Did International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM). No. Did Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), HP (NYSE:HPQ) or Dell Technologies (NASDAQ:DELL). No. Neither did any European company or government, despite clouds proving to be the most important infrastructure innovation of this century. Like characters in The Little Red Hen, they waited for the bread to be baked. Now they not only demand to eat it, but to destroy the oven that baked it.
Billions of people who in the 1990s had no communication with the outside world are now part of the global discussion. An Indian farmer making 36,000 rupee, roughly US$487 per year, can now be heard around the world. Without advertising cash flow, Facebook would have to charge for services. The Internet is worthless without the services that run on it.
Why put it on the buy list, then? Because Facebook’s Diem could do the same thing to banks that Facebook did to phone companies in the 2010s.
Diem’s cryptocurrency and its “digital wallet,” Novi, could combine with Kustomer, its latest acquisition, to let anyone become a merchant using WhatsApp for practically nothing.
This is not an innovation. Ant Financial, part-owned by Alibaba, is already doing this.
Developing world phone monopolies charged up to $1/minute for calls less than 30 years ago. Credit networks like Visa (NYSE:V) now charge merchants and customers, huge fees to transact business. Diem can eliminate these settlement charges. Digital currency can transform the developing world and the global economy.
Governments say they’re acting against greedy monopolies in targeting Facebook and the other cloud czars.
They’re really acting against the free Internet and, by extension, billions of people who have benefitted from it. It’s an act of war against the rising prosperity of Asia, Africa, and the global south.
In the long run, it’s doomed to fail.
Source: Investor Place
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