not vested
Netflix Inc – Subscribers and margins re-accelerating
Recommendation : ACCUMULATE (Maintained); TP: US$570.00, Last Close: US$544.87
4Q23 results were in line with our estimates.
FY23 revenue/PATMI were at 98%/100% of our FY23e forecast.
Paid memberships grew 13% YoY - its highest growth rate in 3 years, with 13.1mn net paid additions the largest 4Q ever.
Growth drivers for FY24e are:
1) lower-priced ad-tier supporting 8% YoY subscriber growth;
2) ~20% price increase in developed markets.
NFLX also raised FY24e operating margin guidance to 24% vs 20.6% in FY23, and expect steady margin expansion from ads.
We raise our FY24e PATMI by 6% on higher margins due to price increases and scaling of its ads business, while also forecasting 13%/18% YoY FY25e revenue/PATMI growth.
We maintain ACCUMULATE with a raised DCF target price of US$570.00 (prev. US$455.00).
NFLX remains our top choice for streaming entertainment given its pricing power, growing membership base, and huge advertising opportunity. Our WACC/growth rate assumptions remain the same at 12.2%/3%, respectively.
Source: Phillips
https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/NFLX/
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"