Just looked at MCD's 10-year monthly chart. Looked nice at first glance - doesn't seem to have suffered that badly from the turn of events since last year.
However, this looks very familiar. Take a look at the 10-year monthly charts of these 2 stocks that were defying gravity for a while as well:
- Flowserve (FLS)
- Illumina (ILMN)
When everyone was dying left and right, they stuck out like Jack Horner's thumb with the plum. Now, they're finally folding as well (and in the case of FLS - folding very quickly).
MCD weekly chart:
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http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MCD&p= ... =155252837Conclusion:-
Speaking for myself, purely from TA point of view, I wouldn't go long MCD at this point. While the kumo support looks to be doing its job (and MCD has survived 2 similar tests in the past 7 years), the bearish Chikou scares me. At current prices, looks like limited upside (60 resistance), but potentially tasty on the downside.