Apple (AAPL) 04 (Mar 01 - Aug 18)

Apple (AAPL) 04 (Mar 01 - Aug 18)

Postby winston » Tue Mar 01, 2016 9:44 am

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Bargain Tech Stocks: Apple Inc. (AAPL)

After reaching a peak of about $133 a share on Feb. 23, 2015, Apple Inc. (AAPL) lost 20.9% by the end of the year. Even worse, it has lost another 9% of its value year-to-date.

One of the top issues crippling AAPL stock at the moment is a standoff with the Fed over requests to unlock a suspected terrorist’s phone. There has also been the weak iPhone sales, an issue made worse by the struggling economy in China — a country Apple is depending on for growth over the next few years.

But all of these are overblown. With all that is happening right now, I believe the strength of Apple’s cash position is being overlooked. It has arguably the strongest cash position of all tech stocks. Apart from its huge cash stash, its ability to generate cash from ongoing operations is also overlooked.

At the end of the millennium’s first decade, Apple stock’s free cash flow was below that of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) by about $5.6 billion. However, by the end of 2015, AAPL had $46.6 billion more free cash flow than Microsoft.

Microsoft’s free cash flow has remained relatively flat over this period.

More interesting is the fact that, over this period of great increase in Apple’s free cash flow, the market continues to factor less of its ability to generate cash into its stock price. On the other hand, the market continues to place more value on Microsoft’s free cash flow, which has been relatively flat over this period. The chart below tells the story.

AAPL vs. MSFT FCF performance

With the issues breathing down AAPL’s neck, the stock could still go lower. However, even at current levels, Apple stock presents a compelling bargain for long-term investors that only few tech stocks can offer.

Source: Investor Place
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Fri Mar 04, 2016 2:57 pm

Can Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Stay Above $100?

The technicals say "yes" and the fundamentals say "who cares?"

By Dan Burrows

Source: Investor Place

http://investorplace.com/2016/03/aapl-a ... tkxYJx96M8
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Mon Mar 07, 2016 9:11 pm

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This 'Crisis' Is Unlikely to Play Out... Here's How to Profit

By Ben Morris

Deals this good are extremely rare…

And the world's best investors know it.

Of the two dozen gurus whose portfolios I recently examined, 11 of them were holding shares.

As I explained last week, elite investors who manage at least $100 million are required to file forms (called "13Fs") with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) every three months. These forms detail which stocks they hold, which ones they've recently purchased, and which ones they've sold.

These elite money managers have decades of experience, huge research budgets, the best contacts, and long track records of success. So reading these reports is a way to get millions of dollars' worth of research for free.

As I combed through the most recent batch of 13Fs a couple of weeks ago, a familiar stock turned up again and again: $560 billion consumer-electronics giant Apple (AAPL).

Apple's shareholders include Carl Icahn, David Einhorn, Chase Coleman, Julian Robertson, David Tepper, Jim Chanos, Jim Simons, David Dreman, Joel Greenblatt, Ray Dalio, and Paul Tudor Jones. It's a "who's who" list of brilliant investors…

Take Icahn, for example. He's among the richest people in the world… And he has gotten there through brilliant deal-making and by spotting great values. He has 16% of his $29 billion portfolio in Apple today. It's his largest position.

And then there's Einhorn. He is sometimes called a "future Warren Buffett." From his fund's inception in 1996 through 2013, Einhorn delivered annual returns of 19.5%. Right now, he has 12% of his $5 billion portfolio in Apple.

Tepper is a great big-picture thinker and a master of buying distressed debt. His hedge fund, Appaloosa Management, averaged 33% annual returns from its founding in 1993 through 2014. Tepper has 3% of his $5 billion fund in Apple.

Why do they all hold Apple? It's a fantastic company trading at a fantastic price…

Apple is the most profitable business ever. Over the last 12 months, Apple generated $234 billion in sales and had a huge, 23% profit margin. Its profits came in at $53.5 billion. That's more than Alphabet (aka Google), Wal-Mart, Microsoft, and Intel combined.

Two of my favorite ways to measure whether a company is cheap or expensive are the EV/EBITDA ratio and the EV/FCF ratio. The EV/EBITDA ratio looks at a company's market value compared with its earnings… And the EV/FCF ratio looks at its market value compared with its free cash flow.

The chart below shows Apple's share price (top) along with the two valuation ratios (bottom). Right now, Apple trades with an EV/EBITDA ratio of 5 and an EV/FCF ratio of 6.5. Since the iPod was released in 2001, Apple has been this cheap only three other times…

The first time (not shown) was at the bottom after the tech bubble burst, in early 2003. The next time was at the bottom after the financial crisis, in late 2008 to early 2009. And the last time, in the first half of 2013, was at the bottom of a sharp correction after the stock overheated from a 750% run.

Please Enable Images to See this

The Apple naysayers have two main concerns. One is growth. Such a big company can't possibly grow as fast as Apple has been growing (sales have more than doubled in four years) for much longer. The other is that the iPhone represents 66% of Apple's sales. This concentration on just one product makes the company more susceptible to competition.

The naysayers are right. Both of these problems are likely to hurt Apple's future results. The thing is, investors are valuing Apple today as if the worst has already happened… But the last 12 months were the best in Apple's history.

In other words, there's a huge disconnect between Apple's business results and its share price due to the expected crisis for iPhone sales. There's a good chance Apple will perform better than expected. But even if it doesn't, the downside from here is low. Apple is trading at crisis levels.

If you own Apple already, hold on to your shares. If you don't, buy shares today and use a 25% trailing stop. Some good news or a change in sentiment could send shares back up to their old highs and beyond.

Source: DailyWealth Trader
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Tue Mar 08, 2016 7:43 am

Apple: Why the world’s top investors are buying…

by Ben Morris

Apple is the most profitable business ever. Over the last 12 months, Apple generated $234 billion in sales and had a huge, 23% profit margin. Its profits came in at $53.5 billion. That’s more than Alphabet (aka Google), Wal-Mart, Microsoft, and Intel combined.


The Apple naysayers have two main concerns. One is growth. Such a big company can’t possibly grow as fast as Apple has been growing (sales have more than doubled in four years) for much longer.

The other is that the iPhone represents 66% of Apple’s sales. This concentration on just one product makes the company more susceptible to competition.


Source: DailyWeath Trader

http://thecrux.com/this-crisis-is-unlik ... to-profit/
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 10, 2016 11:28 am

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Best Stocks of the Bull Market: Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Market Cap: $560 Billion

Change Since Bear-Market Bottom: 751%

One word: iPhone. That revolutionary gadget more than anything else has propelled Apple Inc. (AAPL) through an amazing bull market run. And that’s despite AAPL being in a year-long slump.

Don’t forget that not too long ago, AAPL’s market cap had $800 billion in its sights. Indeed, from the bear-market bottom to Apple stock’s all-time peak a little more than a year ago, shares were up 1,000%

But AAPL stock’s growth profile has changed a lot since those days. Investors are worried that it has lost its iPhone mojo, that it’s too big to grow quickly and that Tim Cook is no Steve Jobs.

Maybe so, but those fears are overblown if you measure by AAPL stock’s valuation. It’s a deep bargain on a forward earnings basis. At current levels, Apple doesn’t have to produce rocket growth to justify an investment.

Source: Investor Place
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 10, 2016 7:06 pm

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It's time to short Apple: Technician

By Stephanie Yang

Apple shares have broken below an uptrend tracing back to 2013, which has now become resistance for the stock.

Gordon said he's sticking with his bet that Apple will head into the mid-$80 level.


Source: CNBC

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/time-shor ... 46167.html
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Fri Mar 11, 2016 11:29 am

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AAPL: The Apple of Your Eye

The dividend on Apple stock was reinstituted in 2012 after a bit of a lag so it won’t show up on many long-term growth lists. However, AAPL stock meets most of the criteria laid out above and is likely to be a powerhouse for many years to come.

That’s notwithstanding analyst and investor concern about the future of the iPhone, unquestionably Apple’s most important product comprising two-thirds of overall revenue and the bulk of the profit.

The negativity surrounding AAPL needs to be balanced by the positives:

Two new iPhone models are due out this year intended to address the 60% of the installed base who have not upgraded their handsets yet.

Last fiscal year, Apple reported $78 billion in revenue from products and services other than the iPhone and $70 billion in free cash flow, while it boasts over $200 billion in cash.

Source: Investor Place
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Mar 12, 2016 11:37 am

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Can Apple Inc.’s March Event Revive AAPL Stock?

Switching up its release philosophy should be beneficial for Cupertino

By John Divine

Source: Investor Place


http://investorplace.com/2016/03/aapl-s ... uOOWZx96M8
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Tue Mar 15, 2016 12:59 pm

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5 Best Stocks for the Future of Fintech: Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Apple Inc. (AAPL)The last company in this list is Apple Inc. (AAPL), which burst onto the fintech scene with its Apple Pay mobile application last year.

Apple Pay’s success is somewhat of an unknown, but the service is accepted at many large retailers and can dominate as part of the Apple ecosystem.

Apple’s mobile devices, along with Alphabet Inc‘s (GOOG, GOOGL) Android-based phones, are important beachheads for any fintech firm with mobile ambitions.

From this standpoint, they are indirect plays on the growing online and mobile financial transactions space.

This goes for any financial institution too. Credit companies including Visa Inc (V) and Mastercard Inc (MA) are also likely to build large presences in fintech.

Source: Investor Place
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Re: Apple (AAPL) / Steve Jobs 03 (Sep 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:23 pm

Blue Chips With Big Cash: #1, Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Cash & Marketable Securities: ~$216 billion

The biggest of blue chips, Apple Inc. (AAPL), has $215 billion of cash and investments, against only $53 billion in debt.

There’s a slight problem in that most of it is parked overseas, and until corporate tax rates here get cut, it will remain there.

Carl Icahn had been pushing for stock buybacks, and with a recent bond sale, Apple clearly plans to do that — and has committed to an annual dividend raise, which I like.

However, I think some acquisitions might be a good idea. AAPL is mostly dependent on the iPhone. I’m concerned about long-term product development. If Apple won’t create its own next big thing — and instead keeps iterating — then perhaps diversifying into synergistic businesses via acquisition makes sense.

I’ll tell you what AAPL should really do, though.

Apple should form an entertainment studio. There’s an opportunity for a visionary studio that up-ends the way content is produced. I’ll expand on this in another article, but Apple could drop $20 billion into this endeavor and disrupt the TV and movie business.

Source: Investor Place
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