Alcoa (AA)

Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Wed Oct 10, 2012 6:44 am

Alcoa Delivers Surprise Profit By Michael Baron

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Shares of Alcoa (AA) were getting a lift in late trades after the Dow component reported a surprise quarterly profit, kicking off earnings season in high style.

Excluding one-time items, the aluminum giant posted earnings from continuing operations of $32 million, or 3 cents a share, in its fiscal third quarter ended Sept. 30 with sales totaling $5.83 billion, which is down from $6.42 billion a year ago.

The average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters was for breakeven results on a per share basis on sales of $5.54 billion in the September-ended period.

The above-consensus performance on the top line came despite a sequential decline in realized aluminum prices of 5%.

http://www.thestreet.com/story/11732196 ... L_wal_html
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Sat Jun 28, 2014 6:10 am

"Bad to less bad" rally continues for aluminum maker Alcoa… shares surge to their highest level in nearly three years.
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:05 am

Alcoa results beat Wall Street, shares rise By Nicole Mordant

Alcoa sees bigger aluminum deficit on China cutbacks

(Reuters) - Alcoa Inc (AA.N) reported quarterly profit and revenue on Tuesday that beat analysts' expectations as the aluminum producer focused on selling products from its more profitable downstream business, which includes truck wheels and aircraft fuselages.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/ ... Name=usdai
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Mon Jun 01, 2015 8:31 pm

Aluminum producer Alcoa sinks to a new 52-week low… shares are down 21% in 2015.
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Fri Jul 03, 2015 7:41 pm

not vested

The famed and respected stalwart in the aluminum production industry, Alcoa Inc. (AA) has fallen into rough times, though hardly of its own doing.

The past few years have been extraordinarily difficult for companies in the basic materials sector, and AA stock suffers from some of the same unfavorable fundamentals negatively affecting steel stocks, namely lower international demand and the burden of a strong U.S. dollar.

AA stock was officially removed from the Dow Jones on September 23, 2013, but the writing was on the wall well before then. In the six years prior to its removal, AA stock lost more than 80% of its value, which was a more rapid descent than its industrial competitors. It also contrasted sharply with the fortunes of the Dow Jones, which was up nearly 13% over the same time frame.

But after getting the boot by the Dow Jones, AA stock went on a full-fledged miracle run, moving up 12 consecutive months and doubling its market value. Even with a substantial pullback this year after failing to overcome its 2011 highs, AA stock is still up 34% from the time of its rejection.

Is there another comeback in the making? Perhaps, but it looks unlikely in the nearer-term. AA stock is down 30% year-to-date and the bulls have utterly failed to respond from the bears’ persistent attacks. The only thing that AA stock holders have accomplished was to slow the hemorrhaging by a minor extent. But the sharks are still circling, already smelling blood in the water and no doubt looking to drive AA stock down to its 2013 lows.

AA stock definitely benefitted from the lowered expectations of being a non-Dow Jones company, but now Alcoa faces serious fundamental challenges that will be difficult to overcome.

Source: Investor Place
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby behappyalways » Thu Jul 09, 2015 9:51 am

Alcoa Profit Misses Estimates Amid Aluminum Slump
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... inum-slump
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Thu Jul 09, 2015 8:09 pm

Major aluminum producer Alcoa hits a new 52-week low… down 22% in two months.
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Mon Oct 12, 2015 7:41 am

not vested

In US, third-quarter earnings season commenced with Alcoa.

But its earnings per share was just seven US cents (HK$0.54), below an expected US$0.13.
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:14 am

Here’s a Quick “Double” on a 2-for-1 Metals Play

By Michael A. Robinson

Source: Strategic Investor

http://strategictechinvestor.com/2015/1 ... 0#deeplink
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Re: Alcoa (AA)

Postby winston » Sat Oct 17, 2015 8:08 pm

A Spin-Off and a Second Catalyst Will Make These Shares Soar By Michael A. Robinson

First, this company has announced a spin-off — it will soon split into two companies so it can free up its performance unit to achieve much faster growth.

And second, it just scored a $1 billion contract from a world leader in commercial aerospace.

===================

We’re approaching the 130th anniversary of one of the key events in the history of the U.S. metals industry.

Back on July 9, 1886, a young Ohio inventor named Charles Martin Hall filed a patent that would in short order transform the industrial world – a way to produce low-cost aluminum by passing an electric current through a bath of alumina dissolved in cryolite.

More than a century later, the process Hall invented (and that was simultaneously discovered in France) remains the only real way to produce industrial-grade aluminum at commercially viable speeds.

And Hall did more than just co-invent aluminum manufacturing. He also founded one of the nation’s oldest materials firms – Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA).

This firm’s impact cannot be overestimated.

Alcoa’s aluminum, prized for its light weight and corrosion resistance, essentially made possible the booming automotive and commercial aircraft industries.

But the recent materials downturn put the stock under pressure. Since hitting a two-year closing high of $17.60 last Nov. 24, the stock is off some 42%.

However, I believe the recent announcement that Alcoa will spin off what it simply refers to as its “value add” business will be a potent catalyst that turns the stock around.

Two Great Stocks for the Price of One

By definition, spin-offs are “twofers” for investors. In the case of Alcoa, when you buy shares in the existing firm, you will automatically get shares in this new business as a tax-free special dividend when the deal goes through next year.

And I’m not the only one who sees the profit potential in this move. In the first eight days following news of the spin-off, Alcoa rallied 20%.

That shouldn’t come as a surprise considering how much empirical data shows that spin-offs are excellent catalysts. In fact, two major studies show the market-beating potential in spin-off investing.

In the first study, two professors at Penn State University examined 30 years of market data covering 174 spin-offs. They found that in the first three years of operations, these new companies gained 76%, beating the S&P 500 Index by 31%.

Lehman Brothers also studied the subject extensively. The Wall Street giant studied 85 spin-offs between 2000 and 2005 and found they beat the S&P 500 by as much as 45% in their first two years as independent companies.

Under the Alcoa spin-off, all of the firm’s basic aluminum and related smelting, mining, energy, and production units will form what Alcoa calls its “Upstream Co.” We’ll just call it Old Alcoa.

This unit will finish the year with roughly $13.2 billion in sales, essentially unchanged from last year. Old Alcoa also has acquired vast tracts of energy assets that will add profit margins when oil and gas prices recover.

What I call “New Alcoa” will focus on segments such as aerospace manufacturing, transportation, construction, and engineered products (including products like aluminum wheels and fastenings, thermal coatings, and aluminum sheeting for cars and jets).

And it’s this “downstream” unit that’s causing tech investors to take notice. Here’s why…
Alcoa’s New “Miracle” Aluminum

In addition to being a great spin-off play, the New Alcoa is also a play on “Miracle Materials.”

That’s because the company is using a new process to produce an aluminum that is lighter and stronger than ever before – which makes it a critical resource for modern cars and aircraft, two sectors that, as you’re about to see, are poised for extraordinary growth.

New Alcoa is able to produce this miracle aluminum because the company boasts the world’s most advanced rolling mill. Also called a “micromill,” this machine turns out a metal that is 40% more formable and 30% stronger than legacy aluminum.

You’ll soon begin seeing the fruits of this high-tech innovation on your local highway. The micromilled material will debut in a few weeks on the 2016 F-150 pickup truck made by Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F).

Ford is using the high-grade aluminum to help cut vehicle weight so it can meet the federal government’s increasing standards for fuel economy.

And with a body made largely of New Alcoa aluminum, this new F-150 will weigh 700 pounds less than previous models – a total weight reduction of 15%.

With the auto industry booming, Alcoa has timed this spin-off perfectly.

September sales came in at an annual rate of 18 million cars and light-duty trucks, and the industry is now on pace to achieve its highest sales since 2000.

We’re seeing a similar development in the commercial aviation space. The industry is striving to cut fuel costs by deploying lighter planes at the very moment it’s beefing up fleets to meet growing global air-traffic demand.

In fact, analysts expect that between now and 2035, the industry will require roughly 38,000 aircraft – worth a combined $5.6 trillion.

And that brings me to the second major catalyst for this stock.

On Oct. 5, Alcoa announced a $1 billion deal to supply bolts, rivets, and other aircraft fasteners for Airbus Group SE (OTCMKTS: EADSY).

The contract will reside with New Alcoa, which will make the fasteners out of titanium, steel, and nickel-based alloys. In a prepared statement, Alcoa CEO Klaus Kleinfeld called the fasteners “breakthrough technologies for some of the most advanced aircraft in the world.”

How We’ll Profit

Alcoa trades at roughly $10.10, giving it a $13 billion market cap, and pays a dividend with a yield of 1.2%.

It’s also gaining momentum as the firm prepares for next year’s spin-off. And that makes it a great long-term “special situation” play.

No doubt, you’d be buying shares in a historic metals firm at a time of depressed materials prices. We saw the impact of that in the third quarter when earnings per share fell 30% to $0.10.

But you also will automatically get shares in the tech-related spin-off as a tax-free dividend.

And as the studies we talked about have proven, we can expect to beat the market over the next three years by roughly 30%.

Thus, it doesn’t take many plays like this to really jump-start your portfolio.

Source: Money Morning
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