by winston » Tue Sep 22, 2009 2:48 pm
Vested. From DBS:-
BUY US$0.09 STI : 2,618.76
Upgrade from HOLD
Price Target : 12-Month US$ 0.14 Prev US$ 0.08
Reason for Report : Improved Outlook
Potential Catalyst: Improved equity markets performance
Aug 27, 2009
Outlook brightens
• Results in line but sequential
• Sequential improvement in performance
• Turning upbeat on its outlook
• Upgrade to BUY, TP S$0.14 pegged to 0.7x NAV based on average historical trading P/BV trading range.
Results in line. Hotung (HIH) reported 2Q09 results in line with our expectations. Operating revenues were slightly lower at -16% yoy to NT$161.0m, while net profit declined by - 41% to NT$19.9m. This was largely due to lower divestments recorded in the quarter. However, despite the lower yoy performance, disposal proceeds were 75% higher qoq on the back of improved equity market conditions in Taiwan.
In line with more buoyant financial market environment, HIH reported an increase in its fair value reserve from NT$446m as of 31st Mar ’09 to NT $760m in 30th Jun’09. As a result, NAV per share increased to NT $6.45 (US$0.195) per share.
Turning upbeat on its outlook. Looking ahead, we expect HIH to continue to deliver sequential earnings improvement on the back of an improved outlook of the equity markets in Taiwan and regional bourses. This will present greater opportunities for HIH to divest their stakes in investee companies at improved valuations when compared to a year ago.
Upgrade to BUY, TP S$0.14, pegged to 0.7x P/BV. We are upgrading our recommendation to BUY, TP S$0.14 pegged to its historical average P/BV ratio of 0.7x P/BV, representing an upside of c. 55% from current trading price of US$0.09.
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"