there is a possibilty it will move higher ...today it close higher than open price.
but Friday is not too far off as well.
Analysis
This transaction comes on the back of the recently announced injection of Raffles City Shanghai, Raffles City Beijing, Raffles City Chengdu and Raffles City Hangzhou into Raffles City China Fund, providing further evidence that CapitaLand’s capital recycling model continues to work even in difficult market conditions.
While its Reits may find it difficult to raise equity to finance acquisitions, we see that CapitaLand can sell assets to third parties and its private funds. We note that CapitaLand intends to use the S$498 mn of cash generated from the sale of CTB to strengthen its balance sheet and redeploy capital to capture other business opportunities in China. However, we do not believe investors will be enamored with an earnings boost from divestment gains as they remain concerned over possible earnings shortfalls stemming from slow residential sales.
Implications
From a mth ago, CapitaLand’s share px is -22% vs City Dev (CTDM.SI; CDL), -11%. We do not think CapitaLand (Neutral) should trade at a much wider disc to RNAV of 34% vs CDL (Sell, Conv List) at 13% disc. Our 12-m TP of S$5.20 for CapitaLand is set at 20% disc to RNAV (Risk: performance of SG resi mkt).
Mgmt has to date been cautious on redeploying capital from divestment gains to seize new business opportunities, which we read to imply that credit and business conditions will remain tough.
Singapore, 8 September 2008 – CapitaLand’s wholly-owned unit, The
Ascott Group (Ascott), has entered into a conditional sale and purchase
agreement to sell Somerset Orchard, an 88-unit serviced residence for a cash
consideration of S$100 million or about S$1,530 psf to OG Private Limited
(OG). The carrying value of the property is S$57 million. CapitaLand is
expected to recognise a gross gain of about S$43 million from divesting the
property.
After the divestment, Ascott will continue to manage the serviced residence
for 15 years, with an option to renew the contract for another 10
years. Somerset Orchard is located at 160 Orchard Road.
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