Benjamin Graham

Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Mon Aug 05, 2013 8:19 pm

An Exit Strategy from the Father of Value Investing By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

"My favorite holding period is forever," investing legend Warren Buffett likes to say.

Hey, that's my favorite holding period, too… It's great when you can buy the right investment at the right price, and it just keeps on delivering. Buffett has found these businesses better than anyone.

But most stocks aren't something you can hold forever. How do you decide when to sell?

Buffett's hero and mentor, Ben Graham, came up with an interesting strategy for this…

Graham is known as the "father of value investing." He defined our ideas of how and when to buy stocks "cheap." Buffett and other successful investors have taken Graham's ideas and built on them, making billions of dollars.

Graham's ideas about "what stocks to buy" get all the attention. But what most people don't realize is, Graham also had interesting ideas about when to sell...

In their recent (and very good) book, Quantitative Value, Wesley Gray and Tobias Carlisle quote a 1976 interview with Graham…

What's needed is, first a definite rule for purchasing [so] you're acquiring stocks for less than they're worth. Second, you have to operate with a large enough number of stocks to make the approach effective. And finally, you need a very definite guideline for selling.

To meet his three criteria above, Graham suggested:

• Buy stocks with a price-to-earnings ratio of below 10 and a debt-to-equity ratio below 50.
• Hold a minimum of 30 stocks.
• Either sell once you're up 50% or sell in two years, whichever happens first.

In Quantitative Value, the authors showed how well Graham's strategy would have worked from 1976 to present...

The compound annual rate of return would have been 17.8% annually – an incredible return. It blows away the stock market in general, which returned 11% a year.

The authors go in-depth about why the strategy works in the book. In short, owning a basket of cheap stocks allows you to make money as they get more expensive. And by following an exit strategy, you're consistently rolling into the cheapest stocks available.

Graham is the father of value investing. Everyone talks about his ideas for when to buy. Nobody talks about his ideas for when to sell… which were apparently just as good, based on the track record.

A great trade includes a smart buy and a smart sell. Graham clearly thought about both.

What's your exit strategy? Graham says, "You need a very definitive guide for selling."

If you don't have one, you ought to figure that out… and soon!


Source: Daily Wealth
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Sat Mar 08, 2014 11:45 am

Graham says you're basically wasting your time trying to buy low in a bear market and sell high in a bull market.

He argues that a stock is a good buy if it's undervalued and to hell with what the rest of the market is doing.

''The average investor cannot deal successfully with price movements by endeavouring to forecast them,'' Graham writes
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Sat Mar 08, 2014 11:46 am

Incidentally, Graham says you should resign yourself to ''the probability'' that most shares will rise 50 per cent or more from their low point but decline 33 per cent or more from their high point ''at various periods in the next five years''.
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Thu Sep 18, 2014 6:32 pm

"Most businesses change in character and quality over the years, sometimes for the better, perhaps more often for the worse.

The investor need not watch his companies' performance like a hawk; but he should give it a good, hard look from time to time."


- Benjamin Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Wed Oct 22, 2014 7:42 pm

"The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator."

- Ben Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Wed Feb 04, 2015 6:07 pm

"You can get in way more trouble with a good idea than a bad idea, because you forget that the good idea has limits."

- Ben Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Thu Jun 18, 2015 6:47 pm

"The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator."

- Ben Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Tue Aug 18, 2015 6:06 pm

“The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator.”

– Ben Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
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Re: Benjamin Graham

Postby winston » Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:37 pm

"You can get in way more trouble with a good idea than a bad idea, because you forget that the good idea has limits."

- Ben Graham
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
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