What Are You Thinking, Warren? Warren Buffett dropped $5,000,000,000 into beleaguered Bank of America (BAC) on Thursday, August 25.
In a cookie cutter statement, Buffett said, “I am impressed with the profit-generating abilities of this franchise, and that they are acting aggressively to put their challenges behind them.â€
He continued, “Bank of America is focused on their customers and on serving them well. That’s what customers want, and that’s the company’s strategy.â€
Thanks for the lip service, Buffett.
What’s really going on in that head of yours?
Right now, every investment expert across America is doing their best to peer into Buffett’s mind to figure out his motive for such a risky bet.
Let’s take a look at a few of them:
Theory 1: Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy, Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful. This is classic “Buffettism.†The Oracle of Omaha merely saw a stock that is trading at $6 that should be trading at $14. The company is in better shape than most believe. That made this beaten-down behemoth a good purchase. After all, Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a TON of cash. It’s time to start spending it.
Theory 2: Obama Asked Buffett For a FavorIn fear of a “Banking Meltdown Part 2,†Obama had a meeting with Buffett to encourage him to buy this “too big to fail†bank with both hands. Buffett, out of patriotic duty, obliged. After all, it was Buffett who told D.C. to “stop coddling the rich,†in a recent New York Times article. Both Obama and Buffett know that the dollars invested in BAC is worth a lot more to the bank . . . because where Buffett goes, so goes his investor fan base.
Theory 3: It’s Just a Safe Play In Preferred Stocks With a WarrantBuffett is getting an amazing deal from Bank Of America. This deal however is not available to the rest of the market. The preferred stock has a dividend of 6% per annum, payable in equal quarterly installments, and is redeemable by the company at any time at a 5% premium.
And it’s tax advantaged! In conjunction with this agreement, Berkshire Hathaway will also receive warrants to purchase 700 million shares of Bank of America common stock at an exercise price of $7.14 a share.
I put my hat in with those that follow Theory 3.
This is a safe play that is not available to the average investor. And it was a smart move by Bank of America.
Just think about it for a second. If BAC went out requesting $5 billion in loans, their stock would have tanked because it would have been seen as a desperate move to raise additional capital to avoid a complete collapse.
However, quietly approaching Warren Buffett for the $5 billion and making a big announcement puts a nice positive spin on the purchase.
So Buffett made a great investment for him. But it is not the same investment opportunity available to you.
When the Sage goes out and starts buying common stock, perhaps I will have a change of mind.
http://www.yolohub.com/economy/what-are ... ing-warren
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"