by investar » Thu Aug 28, 2014 4:17 pm
OUTLOOK
The prospect of continuing strong operations at PLDT, Indofood and MPIC bode well for First Pacific’s continuing businesses going forward.
Management are preparing for completion of the Goodman Fielder transaction and the resulting opportunity to put our business development plans into action. Concern remains over the state of the Indonesian economy, particularly inflation and weakness in the rupiah, even as inflation begins to pick up in the Philippines.
There is increasing attention paid to the sanctity of contract law in the Philippines, where risks related to regulation and contractual arrangements with the Government which may hold back badly needed infrastructure investments. The defensive nature of First Pacific’s portfolio offers a high degree of earnings strength and continuity.
PLDT forecasts 2014 core profit of ₱39.5 billion, up from ₱38.7 billion a year earlier as it builds on demand growth for broadband, data, and internet services.
Indofood continues to grow steadily despite increasing competition and volatile input prices. It expects to deliver profit growth in 2014 — its 10th connective year — on account of steady growth in disposable incomes in its market of nearly 250 million people. Indofood continues to expand its production capacities and range of product offerings.
MPIC forecasts a rise in 2014 core profit to ₱8.0 billion, up from ₱7.2 billion in 2013 as economic growth and improving living standards contribute to revenue and earnings growth — even as contractual tariff increases remain stalled, in certain cases.
Despite this, MPIC aims to expand its portfolio by seeking new investments, and continuing to participate albeit selectively in certain Government projects under the Philippines’ public-private partnership program.
Development of Philex’s Silangan Project is proceeding, with the goal of production within this decade. First Pacific Chief Executive Pangilinan concluded: “The first-half growth in contribution from First Pacific’s operating companies was faster than the increase we saw in 2013. Our bigger investments like PLDT, Indofood and MPIC expect a strong 2014.
Stepping back to view the broader picture, we have seen inflation creep in through higher fuel and labor costs, particularly in Indonesia but more recently in the Philippines as well. Economic regulators are acting to contain these pressures and we are cautiously optimistic that economic growth in these markets will continue to be strong.
While concern remains over the risk of contagion from weakening demand in China and Europe, we derive a measure of comfort that growth in First Pacific’s markets is largely underpinned by domestic demand.
We are hopeful that prudent management of our assets will enable our shareholders to benefit from the economic growth in the years ahead. Our commitment to returning value to our shareholders remains steadfast. We will continue to push for capital returns to our shareholders with our capital management program.”