not vested
Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK) - All eyes on recovery pace
Galaxy reported its first quarterly LBITDA of HKD1,370mn in 2Q20 (1Q20: EBITDA of HKD283mn) with a 92% q/q decline in gross gaming revenue (GGR).
The increased EBITDA contribution from the construction materials business (+57% q/q) partly offset the loss from its casino operations.
Efficient cost control further reduced the daily operating expenses to USD2.5mn in 2Q from USD3mn in 1Q.
The lower cost base should lead to a faster breakeven when traffic normalises.
After the relief rally amid announcement of travel visa resumption, all eyes are now on the pace of recovery.
We expect GGR to pick up more notably in September after the travel approvals in Guangdong province resume, which contributed 46% of Mainland Chinese visitations in Macau in 2019.
Galaxy continues to be our preferred sector pick in the long run. It is the only casino operator in Macau with a net cash position, which allows the company to survive more than 5 years without any revenue and continued to invest during the downturn.
Given its local background, it should subject to relatively lower risk upon licence renewal in mid-2022.
However, after its recent outperformance, we suggest waiting for a better entry point. HOLD.
Source: OCBC