AIA Group 1299

Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Fri Aug 25, 2023 8:19 am

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AIA boosts dividend as new business booms

by Themis Qi

The insurance and finance corporation AIA (1299) saw its first-half net profit jump 46 percent yearly to US$2.25 billion (HK$17.55 billion), driven by strong growth in Hong Kong and the mainland, and raised the interim dividend by 5 percent to 42.29 HK cents a share.

The new business value in Hong Kong soared 111 percent yearly to US$681 million for the first six months of the year, thanks to the return of mainland visitors after the border reopening.

Business in the mainland climbed 14 percent to US$601 million over the same period, benefiting from the distribution partnership with Bank of East Asia (0023) and Postal Savings Bank of China (1658).

These helped the total value of the new business for the first half to surge 37 percent yearly to US$2.03 billion.

However, the overall first-half margin for new business value dipped to 50.8 percent from 55.2 percent one year ago, which AIA mainly attributed to more long-term saving products sold.

For the first half, the average case size by mainland clients in Hong Kong and Macau reached US$20,000, doubling the pre-pandemic level.

New customers accounted for 79 percent of the second-quarter business from mainland visitors, larger than 59 percent in the previous quarter.

AIA will keep focusing on affluent clients after the first-half Million Dollar Round Table qualifiers expanded by 49 percent yearly. And the company remained No 1 in MDRT globally this year.


Source: The Standard

https://www.thestandard.com.hk/section- ... ness-booms
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Fri Aug 25, 2023 9:51 am

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AIA Group (1299 HK)
1H23: VONB In Line; Margin Slumps A Concern


AIA’s 1H23 VONB came in largely within our estimates, driven by the return of MCV in
Hong Kong.

The huge margin compression in 1H23 was due to the hot sale of low-margin participating products.

AIA continues to gain growth momentum in ASEAN but the company faces slower growth in China.

We trim our 2023/24 EV per share forecast by 5% after revising our long-term VONB margin and VONB growth assumptions.

Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$95.00.

Source: UOBKH

https://research.uobkayhian.com/content ... c84098c97c
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Wed Aug 30, 2023 2:14 pm

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Broker│Opinion

Daiwa│Thai business is a new growth driver outside of Greater China region

Jefferies│Interim VONB and new premium income beat

Goldman Sachs│Strong interim results, VONB growth accelerated in 2Q driven by HK business

HSBC Global Research│VONB recovery continues, benefiting from strong growth in Mainland, HK and Thailand

Nomura│Interim margins weak but VONB growth strong

CLSA│Interim VONB growth beat, driven by Mainland, HK and Thailand businesses

JPMorgan│Strong local growth in 1H23, but margins on Mainland products deteriorated more than expected

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... stock-news
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Thu Sep 14, 2023 6:41 pm

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G Sachs: AIA (01299.HK) Says CN Biz Focus is Distribution Agencies; Buy Kept on AIA

Goldman Sachs issued a report on an earlier meeting between representatives from AIA (01299.HK) and investors.

Investors placed their focus on AIA's Mainland business and updates on the MCV (mainland Chinese visitor) business in Hong Kong, in particular the outlook for the Mainland-related product portfolio and margin performance.

The company meanwhile emphasised its focus on its distribution agencies and its collaboration with its bank partners, which have access to a larger number of high-end customers.

The broker recognised that AIA's further expansion of its bancassurance business may put pressure on margins. However, some banks have large customer bases, such as PSBC (01658.HK) , which has between 30 million and 40 million high-end customers, giving AIA's products plenty of room for growth.

Its tax-deductible retirement products are targeted at the affluent, and although the products' margins are relatively low, 35% of sales come from new customers.

In the past, sales of protection products were more likely to come from new sales agents. With the company's plan to recruit more and expand its network, it is expected that the trend of the past 3 years, when sales of additional protection grew more than new business as a result of Covid, will be reversed.

Goldman maintained a Buy rating on AIA, with a target price of $101.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Thu Oct 26, 2023 10:34 am

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VONB: Higher for longer

We see upward revisions to FY23F & FY24F Bloomberg consensus VONB growth (Fig 2-3), with HK strength persisting on sustained MCV momentum.

We do not think IFRS17 adoption will change AIA’s share price drivers away from VONB growth, based on the mix of investor queries about AIA.

AIA’s book value sensitivity to higher interest rates has more than halved in 1H23 compared to 1H22 (Fig 14).

We expect 39% yoy VONB growth in 3Q23F and think it could be a re-rating catalyst.

Reiterate Add rating, TP unchanged at HK$91.

Source: CIMB

https://rfs.cgs-cimb.com/api/download?f ... 91375FEF90
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Fri Nov 03, 2023 9:10 am

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AIA 3Q VONB Grows 35% on CER Basis


AIA (01299.HK) announced that, for the third quarter ended 30 September 2023, the value of new business (VONB) of the group increased by 35% YoY on the constant exchange rate (CER) basis and by 34% on the actual exchange rate (AER) basis, respectively, to US$994 million.

Nomura and Goldman Sachs previously forecast the VONB of the group in the third quarter to be US$914 million and US$949 million, respectively.

Related News: UBS Lowers AIA (01299.HK) TP to $95, Rating Buy

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analy ... stock-news
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Mon Nov 06, 2023 8:58 am

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AIA Group (1299 HK)
Maintain High VONB Growth In 3Q23; Outperforms Peers


AIA’s 3Q23 VONB came in above our estimates with 34.1% yoy growth, driven by the
encouraging sales to MCV in Hong Kong and reaccelerated VONB growth in China.

The ASEAN and India markets also delivered strong double-digit VONB growth.

Margins improved for the first time since 4Q22 by 1.8ppt qoq to 51.3% due to a favourable shift
in product mix and improved margins of the bancassurance channel in China.

Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$95.00.

Source: UOBKH

https://research.uobkayhian.com/content ... 0a78e1eafa
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Mon Nov 06, 2023 11:14 am

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Citi: AIA (01299.HK) 3Q VoNB Moderately Beats

Citi Research wrote in a report that the Value of New Business (VoNB) of AIA (01299.HK) during 3Q was slightly ahead of expectations, rising 35% YoY to US$994 million at constant exchange rates (CER), and 5% above market expectations.

This was driven by a 54% YoY increase in annualised new premiums in the quarter, which also meant that 3Q profit margins improved by 1.7 ppts QoQ.

VoNB for the first nine months hiked 36% YoY to US$3.023 billion, higher than the same period last year.

The broker noted that VoNB of Mainland business rose by more than 20% YoY in 3Q, accelerating from 14% in 1H, with double-digit growth in critical illness products.

Hong Kong business recorded strong growth in VoNB, benefiting from strong inbound business from Mainland Chinese Visitors (MCVs), even as the local business declined slightly YoY.

Related News - Nomura: AIA (01299.HK) 3Q VONB Beats

Citi gave a target price of $105 to AIA and maintained its Buy rating.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Mon Nov 06, 2023 2:00 pm

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Brokers│Views

Daiwa│VONB growth driven by mainland China and ASEAN region businesses

Citigroup│VONB slightly beat

HSBC Global Research│VONB resilient with improved VONB margin

Huatai Securities│Quarterly VONB growth robust

BofA Securities│Positive momentum sustained over 3Q

Goldman Sachs│VONB ahead of forecast

Nomura│Quarterly VONB beat on expansion in annualized net revenue, despite decline in VONB margin

UBS│3Q results beat; VONB margin improved QoQ

CLSA│Business momentum strong

CICC│VONB once again beat; focus on flow to foreign capital to identify buying opportunities

Jefferies│Historically strongest 3Q

Guotai Junan Securities│Quarterly VONB hit new high with faster growth across all major regions

JPMorgan│VONB growth strong

GF Securities│Full-fledged business revival with strong VONB growth momentum

Source: AAstocks.com

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN

Related NewsNomura: AIA (01299.HK) 3Q VONB Beats


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Re: AIA Group 1299

Postby winston » Tue Nov 07, 2023 10:35 am

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China expansion intact
3Q23 VONB up 35% y-o-y, beating expectations


Double-digit VONB y-o-y growth seen in HK, China, ASEAN, India

China growth likely to reaccelerate with double-digit growth in active agent headcount, stable product mix

Factoring in stronger-than-expected VONB growth, weaker investment sentiment, and rolling over to FY24F, maintain BUY with unchanged TP of HK$118

Source: DBS

https://www.dbs.com/insightsdirect/comp ... ecid=17049
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