Cattle Prices Jump to Record as Beef Exports Cut Supply From Smaller HerdsBy Blair Euteneuer
Cattle futures
rallied to a record for the second time this month on signs that
rising demand for U.S. beef will erode
supplies that are shrinking as ranchers reduce the size of their herds.
Beef
output will drop 4.9 percent next year after
high feed costs led ranchers to slaughter more breeding cows, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Oct. 12.
The cattle herd totaled
100 million head on July 1, the lowest for that date since at least 1973. Beef exports this year through August were
up 27 percent, and meat producers say yesterday’s approval of
three U.S. free-trade agreements will boost sales further.
Cattle futures have
surged 25 percent in the past year, and the government said last month that retail-beef
prices will rise by as much as 9 percent this year, more than any other major food group. Increased costs are
squeezing profit margins for restaurant owners including Texas Roadhouse Inc. and Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc.
Congress approved free-trade agreements yesterday with
South Korea, Colombia and Panama, bringing an end to years of stalemate among U.S. lawmakers and offering what supporters said was the biggest opportunity for exporters in decades. The bills go to President Barack Obama for approval.
The U.S. Meat Export Federation expects beef shipments to climb by about $517 million, or
13 percent, over the next 15 years as duties on U.S. shipments are phased out.
The Korea agreement would
cut levies of 40 percent on U.S. beef to zero percent over 15 years, dropping 2.7 percent each year, the Denver-based group said.
This year through August, the U.S. exported 276.9 million pounds of beef and veal to South Korea,
up 50 percent from a year earlier, USDA data show. Only
Mexico, Canada and Japan have purchased more.
Wholesale-beef prices are
up 21 percent in the past year, and the retail cost for consumers reached a record $4.489 a pound in August, USDA data show. “We can expect higher prices yet,†Vetterkind said.
The worst drought in Texas history has
parched pastures and forced ranchers to shrink livestock herds rather than incur higher costs to buy feed grain.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-1 ... herds.html
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