China's low copper inventory data belie sufficient supply
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodi ... 023-08-17/
China’s production of refined copper — and its share of world output — is heading for a record this year after a burst in construction of new smelters.
China will account for about 45% of global refined copper output this year.
The nation’s metals consumption has been relatively strong in 2023. That has probably helped copper stave off an even deeper market slump, with prices only slightly lower than this time last year.
CRU sees copper demand in China growing 5% this year, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. named copper as one of its top commodities picks for next year on a “robust green demand environment”.
China’s copper smelting capacity will increase by another 45% by 2027, accounting for 61% of expected new plants around the world in that period.
China could turn net exporter of copper by 2025 or 2026 as production booms.
Global copper concentrate supply will be loose in the first half before switching to a deficit in the second.
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