USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 24)

Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Fri Sep 28, 2018 8:43 pm

Now’s the Time to Bet on a Weaker U.S. Dollar

by Karim Rahemtulla

Source: Wall Street Daily

http://dailytradealert.com/2018/09/28/n ... -s-dollar/
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Nov 20, 2018 2:10 pm

U.S. Dollar – Three Factors Signaling Major Top

by James Hyerczyk

1. Inflation May Not Be Overheating
2. Powell Sees Risks Ahead
3. Fed’s Clarida said the Fed is getting closer to neutral and that there is “some evidence” that the world economy is slowing.


Source: FX Empire

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-dollar ... 39562.html
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed Nov 28, 2018 8:14 am

Is the US dollar’s long climb about to end? And, if so, where should you put your money?

Neal Kimberley says market watchers are on the alert for a slide in the US dollar, and Asian currencies may be the ones to benefit when the time comes, although that may not be before 2019

Currencies which have shown a high correlation with the CSI 300’s performance since summer have either, as in the case of the Taiwan dollar and the South Korean won, stabilised against the US dollar, or have begun significant recoveries from the lows of late October – here he cites the Indonesian rupiah, Australian dollar and Indian rupee.

The Japanese yen might be another major beneficiary if the US dollar loses its broader allure. Traders will have noted the recent announcement of Japan’s US$1.5 trillion Government Pension Investment Fund that it is now able to hedge its foreign currency exposures, if it so chooses.


Source: SCMP

https://www.scmp.com/comment/article/21 ... your-money
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Thu Nov 29, 2018 7:11 am

Greenback to fall in 2019

A US dollar slump is on the horizon in 2019, and it could last for years.

That's according to JPMorgan Asset Management, which anticipates the greenback may start falling by the end of next year amid a cooling US economy and a potential pause in the Federal Reserve's hiking cycle, likely in the second half of 2019.

"Ultimately, the trajectory is for a downward move in the dollar over a multi-year period," Gabriela Santos, a global market strategist at the $1.7 trillion money manager, said in an interview on Monday.

"In the second half of next year, if the Fed did indeed pause, if the US economy were decelerating, if the rest of the world stabilized or improved a little bit, you could see how the dollar could fall."

The Dollar Spot Index has risen about 4.5 percent this year on the back of Fed rate increases and robust U.S. economic growth, and JPMorgan Asset says the strength may extend into 2019.

The greenback turned higher starting in April, benefiting from economic strains in Europe and emerging markets, in part because of escalating trade tensions.

Source: Bloomberg

http://www.thestandard.com.hk/section-n ... r=20181129
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Mar 08, 2019 10:04 am

Is This the Beginning of a Massive Dollar Run?
https://www.financialsense.com/blog/189 ... dollar-run
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Fri Mar 22, 2019 4:55 am

This might be the dollar disaster bears have been waiting for

The Bloomberg dollar index tumbled 0.5 percent on Wednesday, making it the worst day since January, after Fed policy makers unexpectedly signaled they’d hold their rates benchmark steady all year because of troubling signs from the economy.

Among other problems, that could undermine the currency’s appeal by cutting into any yield advantage on dollar-denominated assets.

The Fed’s new stance “partially” vindicates the bears, but for the dollar to weaken more, economies outside the U.S. will need to perk up.


Source: The Star

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/bus ... XFdjYEa.99
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Fri Mar 22, 2019 4:55 am

This might be the dollar disaster bears have been waiting for

The Bloomberg dollar index tumbled 0.5 percent on Wednesday, making it the worst day since January, after Fed policy makers unexpectedly signaled they’d hold their rates benchmark steady all year because of troubling signs from the economy.

Among other problems, that could undermine the currency’s appeal by cutting into any yield advantage on dollar-denominated assets.

The Fed’s new stance “partially” vindicates the bears, but for the dollar to weaken more, economies outside the U.S. will need to perk up.


Source: The Star

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/bus ... XFdjYEa.99
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon May 06, 2019 8:14 am

The Dollar: There are two schools of thought.

First, those who believe a strong dollar is in the interest of the US. Reagan (though not all of his advisors) and Clinton were strong dollar Presidents.

Second, there are those who believe a strong dollar prevents the US from selling US goods abroad. The Bushes (1 and 2) and Obama were in this category.

The thing is, the US is always its economic strength peak when its consumers are consuming, and that is when there is a strong economy and a strong dollar: they consume both US and foreign goods.

History shows this again and again, and thus it is worth watching the dollar as a gauge of how the US economy is performing.

Source: Investment House
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Thu Jan 02, 2020 10:15 pm

The Dollar’s Losses May Just Be Getting Started

by Ruth Carson

The currency is set to extend losses as a truce in the U.S.-China trade war and signs that global growth is improving sap demand for haven assets;

At the same time, the Federal Reserve has taken a dovish tilt, which will help shrink the yield premium offered by U.S. Treasuries.

“The primary driver of dollar weakness will be a shift in relative economic growth rates between the U.S. and the rest of the world.”

Goldman Sachs argues the dollar will only decline if the euro and yuan appreciate significantly, and it says that looks unlikely for now.


Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-l ... 26718.html
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Re: USD 06 (Nov 15 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:57 am

China cuts USD weighting

Source: SCMP

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-econ ... ost-global
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