by winston » Fri Jul 24, 2015 10:47 am
not vested
OSIM International: Room for disappointment
OSIM International Ltd (OSIM) saw another weak set of 2Q15 results, albeit it was within our expectations.
Revenue fell 13% YoY to S$159.5m, forming 23% of our FY15 forecast. This was due to poorer sales in smaller products, while somewhat cushioned by the launch of uMagic in Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan this quarter.
PATMI was down 24% to $22.5m, making up 24.2% of our full-year estimate.
All considered, we have reduced our FY15/16F estimates to a more reasonable level and derived a new FV estimate of S$1.52 (previous: S$1.87).
While the group continues to create innovative products, enhance marketing for uMagic, and expand their TWG Tea presence, we opt to keep our HOLD rating on the stock, given the persistently soft retail scene in the group’s core markets and potentially weaker-than-expected sales performance.
Source: OCBC
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"