by winston » Wed Feb 13, 2013 11:34 am
not vested
Parkson Retail Asia: Look forward to a stronger 2H (Downgrade to Neutral, S$1.69, TP: S$1.77)
PRA reported a 3% decline in 2Q13 PATMI of S$13.2m, which came in below our expectations. The decline is attributed to lower same-store-sales growth across all markets.
Malaysia recorded SSSG of 2.8% vs our forecast of 7% (guided: 7-9%) due to a late Chinese New Year which will see the festive season buying only reflected in 3Q13.
In Indonesia, SSSG was 4.5% vs forecast of 9% (guided: 8-10%) as one store in Jakarta suffered from a temporary drop in traffic due to a new mall opening nearby but traffic has since reverted back to normal.
Vietnam fared worse than expected with SSSG declining by a steep -8.4% yoy due poor economic conditions as well as operating losses from its new mall.
Going forward, we expect a stronger 2H13, particularly from Malaysia which accounts for 74% of Group revenue.
We are maintaining our earnings estimates and DCF-derived TP of S$1.77 (WACC: 9.2%, growth: 1.5%) which implies a FY13F P/E of 21x.
As stock price has appreciated to reach our fair valuation, we downgrade the stock to a NEUTRAL.
Source: DMG
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"