not vested
Great Eastern (GE SP) capped off a record year with a strong showing in 4Q14.
For the quarter, net profit registered a 25% growth yoy to SGD207.8m, driven by growth in operating profit from its insurance business as well as unrealised marked-to-market gains.
GE’s full year net profit rose 30% to a record SGD879m, and it declared a SGD0.40 final dividend and a SGD0.05 special dividend.
Core profit from the insurance business grew 6% to 591m, primarily driven by better performance from its investment-linked fund in Malaysia. The group generated SGD394m in new business embedded value (EV), while EV rose to a record SGD10.4bn, or SGD22.05/share (+13% yoy).
In the last six years, GE’s EV has compounded at an impressive 10% CAGR.
We continue to like GE for its dominant insurance franchise in Singapore and Malaysia. With the acquisition of Wing Hang by parent OCBC, GE is poised
to make further inroads into the Greater China market. Despite the recent re-rating, valuation for the stock remains undemanding at 1.1x P/EV.
Since last year, GE has began to separate out its investment income performance from its under-writing business, and with this, investors are now able to peg a more appropriate multiple for the stable and long-tail insurance business.
We maintain our BUY rating on the counter and raised our TP to SGD28.65, pegged to 1.3x P/EV multiple. Previous attempts by OCBC to privatize
GE values the well-capitalized insurer at 1.3-1.5x P/EV.
Source: DMG
