Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 25)

Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Tue May 29, 2018 8:43 am

SENTIMENT

VIX: 13.22; +0.69
VXN: 16.06; +0.24
VXO: 12.74; +2.21

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.92; +0.05

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls continued their recovery with another 2.5 to 3 point gain. Still well off the highs. Bears held basically steady after a pair of big moves upside.

Bulls: 49.1 versus 46.6
Bears: 19.2 versus 19.4

Source: Investment House
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jun 11, 2018 11:02 am

SENTIMENT

VIX: 12.18; +0.05
VXN: 16.51; +0.06
VXO: 11.33; -0.40

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.95; +0.03

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls edged higher as part of a 4 week recovery from the plummet from the 65 range. Hardly a new surge. Bears are holding a rebound from the prior five months, but frankly, it is not that much of a bounce.

Bulls: 50.0 versus 49.1
Bears: 19.2 versus 19.2

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jun 18, 2018 6:00 pm

SENTIMENT

VIX: 11.98; -0.14
VXN: 15.42; -0.52
VXO: 11.01; +0.50

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.93; 0.00

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls up 5.5 points over the past three weeks, bears -1.4 over the same period. After dropping rather sharply during the stock rebound, bulls finally feel the upside a bit.

Likewise, bears rallied into the selling, now tailing off after a few weeks of upside. That is the way it works.

Bulls: 55.5 versus 52.9
Bears: 17.8 versus 17.7

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jun 25, 2018 11:21 am

SENTIMENT

VIX: 13.77; -0.87
VXN: 18.38; -0.51
VXO: 12.85; -0.59

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.86; -0.17

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls fell back from the strong rally upside off of the even stronger plunge. Bears are a bit lighter though still overall on the rebound from lows not seen since early 1987.

Bulls: 52.0 versus 55.5
Bears: 17.6 versus 17.8

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 02, 2018 3:52 pm

SENTIMENT

VIX: 16.09; -0.76
VXN: 20.88; -0.88
VXO: 15.26; -0.92

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 1.24; -0.08

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls continue falling back, the past week a very sharp drop while bears rise put in a fairly significant move of their own. Bulls are off 7.9 points in 2 weeks, a big drop.

Typically, sentiment is inverse of trade. Negative sentiment is rallying as stocks test key support. This weighs for a move back upside.

Bulls: 47.6 versus 52.0
Bears: 18.4 versus 17.6

Source: Investment House
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 09, 2018 1:45 pm

SENTIMENT

VIX: 13.37; -1.60
VXN: 18.72; -1.63
VXO: 12.71; -2.25

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 1.00; +0.09

Bulls and Bears:

As noted last week with the sharp drop in bullish sentiment over the prior two weeks, the sharp drop weighed for a move back up. Looks as if that move started.

Bulls: 47.6 versus 52.0
Bears: 18.4 versus 17.6

Source: Investment House
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 16, 2018 11:26 am

SENTIMENT

VIX: 12.18; -0.40
VXN: 16.88; -0.24
VXO: 11.06; -0.38

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.98; +0.06

Bulls and Bears:

After the plummet in bulls they post an impressive 5.3 point rally. As soon as they were falling the market rallied. How quickly did those bulls return? Fast. A bit worrisome as it indicates some froth in the move. Bears remained stagnant.

Bulls: 52.4 versus 47.1
Bears: 18.5 versus 18.6

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 23, 2018 2:36 pm

SENTIMENT

VIX: 12.86; -0.01
VXN: 17.11; -0.24
VXO: 11.41; +0.05

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 0.98; +0.08

Bulls and Bears:

Bulls popped back up like a cork from 47.1 after the rise and drop. Got overdone to the downside as everyone turned negative just as the market bounced.

Now is it too high? Not really. It was over 60 recently; a bit of room but not much.

Bulls: 55.3 versus 52.4
Bears: 18.5 versus 18.5

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 30, 2018 7:59 am

SENTIMENT

VIX: 13.03; +0.89
VXN: 18.72; +1.85
VXO: 11.54; +0.31

Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 1.05; +0.31

Bulls and Bears:

Modest moves with bulls holding near 55, bears near 18.6. Not telling a lot right now, but bigger picture, bulls remain off the highs over 6 hit early 2018.

Bulls: 54.9 versus 55.3
Bears: 18.6 versus 18.5

Source: Investment House
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Re: Market Sentiment 05 (Nov 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:02 am

CHARTS

NASDAQ: Back and forth all week over the 10 day EMA as it hit new highs then immediately sold back. After a doji at the 10 day EMA Thursday, NASDAQ gapped upside gratis AMZN, but then reversed to take out the 20 day EMA and touch the bottom of the two week lateral range on the low. Not a breakdown as noted earlier, but definitely rejected at the new high, not just Friday,
but Tuesday and Thursday as well.

SP500: Broke to a higher recovery high Wednesday then faded into Friday and a test of the 10 day EMA on the close. Down but lower volume and SP500 remains in good position to take on the all-time high from late January.

DJ30: Surpassed the June high on the week, leaving the late February peak and the January all-time high still out there. That is good; plenty of room to run with the new money coming DJ30's way. Near term DJ30 is almost at the upper channel line from the uptrend that started in March. It may want to test a bit more before resuming the move and that run at those prior highs. Overall DJ30 continues to look good in its recovery.

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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