Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 24)

Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Sat Dec 09, 2017 6:55 pm

Emerging markets just broke through ‘unbelievably strong support,’ technician says

by Rebecca Ungarino

Troubling technical signs were already appearing in Chinese markets but those "cracks are getting wider" and spilling over into the broader emerging markets space.

"The 50-day moving average had been unbelievably strong support for the EEM all year, and tested it nine different times. And on the 10th time, today, it broke down. And it broke down considerably. So that's a yellow flag for that market,".


Recent weakness in commodities like copper further Maley's cautious stance.

The amount of debt created in China in recent years, gives Chad Morganlander, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors, pause about emerging markets.

"Our expectation is that you are seeing a slight policy shift to decelerate credit growth. They're not looking to actually put a hard brake in it.


Source: CNBC

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/07/emergin ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Thu Jan 18, 2018 3:50 pm

A multiyear boom may be starting in these stocks

by Dr David Eifrig

We could be in the early years of the next boom in emerging market stocks.

And we want to be along for the ride.


Source: Health & Wealth Bulletin

http://thecrux.com/read-this-before-you ... her-stock/
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Feb 06, 2018 8:38 pm

Emerging Market Outflows Are Biggest Since 2016 U.S. Election

Asia has taken the brunt of the reversal with South Korea, Indonesia and Thailand seeing the biggest outflows of the countries in the study.

IIF analysts say the countries they are tracking registered nearly $4 billion in outflows since flows turned negative on Jan. 30. Some $3.4 billion of that has been from equities


Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/emerging ... 44158.html
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:15 pm

Emerging markets suffer $4 billion outflows, biggest since U.S. election, IIF says

Source: Reuters

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-emer ... US%20Money
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Fri Apr 06, 2018 7:13 am

Emerging markets still have upside amid the downturn

Nicholas Spiro says developing economies may not be as disengaged from advanced economies as the decoupling thesis makes out, but as US equity markets slide, there is reason to be optimistic about emerging-market stocks

Firstly, sentiment remains bullish towards emerging markets. The equity funds of developing economies have attracted more than US$43 billion of inflows so far this year, roughly the same amount in outflows from US stock funds.

Secondly, and more importantly, mounting strains on emerging-market equities are a blessing in disguise. This is not a home-grown downturn – quite the opposite. Investors know this and are therefore likely to continue to perceive emerging markets favourably, at least for the time being.

The so-called forward price-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 still stands at just below 17, compared with 12 for the MSCI EM index.

The decoupling thesis may have been flawed, but there is still value in emerging-market shares.


Source: SCMP

http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opi ... d-downturn
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Apr 17, 2018 7:37 pm

Emerging Markets Have Had a Good Run. Things May Get Bumpier

Trade spats, China slowdown, QT launch, U.S. yields pose risks
Some investors are getting more selective in bonds, currencies

Four potential triggers for "a major market repricing of EM risk premia:-
1. Trade tensions
2. A U.S. bond-market sell-off, which would diminish the incentive of heading to other currencies for yield premiums
3. Unwinding of quantitative easing by developed-nation central banks
4. A China growth slowdown, prompted by the leadership’s focus on reducing financial risk and pollution


Nomura: Third quarter of 2018 - high risk. Chile, Hungary, Poland and Thailand are among the less vulnerable, while Turkey, Hong Kong, Mexico and Malaysia are among the more exposed.

Emso Asset Management: "We continue to see value in Brazilian, Mexican, South African and Colombian local-currency bonds, including often the FX exposure."



Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... et-bumpier
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:51 pm

These Are the Biggest Risks for Emerging Markets Right Now

Monthly losses signal dollar strength remains key threat
Treasury yields above 3 percent leave investors nervous

Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed May 09, 2018 1:53 pm

Mark Mobius Says Finicky Pension Funds Fleeing Emerging Markets

“More and more of these pension funds are buying ETFs and when the market goes down, the tendency for them is to reduce”.

Last year, institutional money flows into emerging-market equities almost tripled, boosting their total net assets for equities to $318.6 billion as of the end of last year. They ended 2017 with $192.7 billion worth of bonds.

Avoid passive funds and seek companies that won’t go down with the benchmark indices

He looks for three characteristics before investing in companies:
1. They pay good dividends
2. Have solid earnings growth and
3. Most importantly, have very low debt


Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue May 15, 2018 8:13 pm

Morgan Stanley Splits With Nomura Over Emerging-Market Outlook

Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-s ... 30056.html
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Fri May 18, 2018 8:40 am

Worse Than 2008? Here's What the Emerging Market Numbers Show

By Enda Curran and Cormac Mullen

Harvard’s Carmen Reinhart gives a downbeat assessment
Exposures and vulnerabilities vary from economy to economy

Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... mbergdaily
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