Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 24)

Re: Emerging Markets 02 (Jan 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Wed Feb 22, 2017 9:15 am

The next emerging-markets boom is here

Source: Daily Crux

http://thecrux.com/the-next-emerging-ma ... m-is-here/
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Re: Emerging Markets 02 (Jan 12 - Dec 16)

Postby winston » Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:50 pm

Emerging Market Debt Is Safer Now (Unless ...)

By Lisa Abramowicz

More than a quarter of dollar-denominated corporate and quasi-sovereign debt in emerging markets is tied to oil and gas production, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

That compares with 14.4 percent of the U.S. high-yield index and 12 percent of U.S. corporate bonds more broadly.


When the Fed raises rates next week, emerging-market credit can easily keep on rallying. It's really falling oil prices that would put a halt to this party.


Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articl ... il-crashes
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Mar 21, 2017 1:50 pm

It’s time to fish for returns in emerging markets, say strategists

By Sue Chang

Emerging markets have outperformed developed markets in three of the four last rate-tightening cycles, says J.P. Morgan Cazenove

“MSCI Emerging Market outperformed Develop Market during three of the last four hiking cycles”


EM valuations remain attractive versus developed markets, trading at a 30% discount, according to the strategist.

“EM are far from over-owned, even though they had net inflows over the past three quarters. They are still sitting on 50% relative underperformance since 2011,” Matejka said.

Among emerging markets, J.P. Morgan favors China and Brazil.


Source: Market Watch

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-ti ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Mon Mar 27, 2017 2:02 pm

This overlooked asset class is about to boom

Source: Daily Crux

http://thecrux.com/this-overlooked-asse ... t-to-boom/
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Apr 11, 2017 3:05 pm

Rob Arnott
Founder, Research Affiliates

Look to Unloved Emerging Markets

The principle of contrarian investing—buying what is feared and loathed, and selling what is beloved and expensive—is a reliable, if sometimes very uncomfortable, strategy.

With patience, it can deliver impressive long-term performance. In the short run, markets will often chase trends, until they don’t. Contrarian investing requires the willpower to ignore the noise in short-term price movements.

A contrarian investor may look foolish, even feel foolish, especially when markets are moving far beyond historical norms. We should always remember that higher valuations mean lower yields and lower future returns.

My contrarian recommendation is to diversify away from the expensive U.S. markets into the unloved emerging markets, including EM value stocks, EM local currency bonds and EM currencies themselves.

A year ago, we described emerging-market value stocks as the “trade of a decade.” These markets had been hit and were bleeding hard in the three years ended December 2015. In 2016, they finally turned the corner.

Now, even after a 40 percent runup in EM value stocks, these markets are still the worst performers among all of the major asset classes on a trailing three-year basis ended December 2016. That means they’re still cheap, trading at a single-digit price/earnings ratio.

After a robust rebound, emerging-market stocks and bonds still offer a rare combination of cheap equity valuations, high bond yields, depressed currencies and improving economic and price momentum. The Wall Street narrative, suggesting that U.S. protectionism will hurt these economies, leaves them with ample room for positive surprise. Count me as a bull on emerging-market stocks, bonds, and currencies.

Ways to play it with ETFs: For emerging-market value investing, the PowerShares FTSE RAFI Emerging Markets Portfolio (PXH) uses a screen to select and weight stocks based on book value, cash flow, sales and dividends. It comes with a fee of 0.48 percent.

For EM debt with currency exposure, the VanEck Vectors J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) serves up emerging-market bonds in the local currency for a fee of 0.47 percent.

Source: Bloomberg
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed Apr 19, 2017 8:27 am

3 Risks Facing Emerging Markets

By Johanna Bennett

1. If the U.S. dollar remains strong and the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates


2. Global trade declines amid increased protectionist measures


3. China is stabilizing, but still risky


Source: Barron's Asia

http://blogs.barrons.com/asiastocks/201 ... g-markets/
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Sat Apr 22, 2017 5:09 pm

3 Emerging Markets ETFs That Will Beat the U.S.

Emerging markets are hot, and analysts expect things to stay that way. Capitalize with these three EM funds.

By Aaron Levitt

Source: Investor Place

http://investorplace.com/2017/04/3-emer ... PsaWdJ96M8
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue May 02, 2017 6:13 pm

Start Worrying About Emerging Markets

By Satyajit Das

U.S. dollar credit to overseas nonbank borrowers has risen by more than 50 percent since 2009, to around $10 trillion.

As much as three-quarters of this debt is denominated in dollars, and emerging-market borrowers account for a significant portion of it.

Chinese companies alone owe more than $1.1 trillion to overseas creditors. The equivalent figure in Brazil and Mexico is close to $400 billion; in Russia, it's $700 billion.


Source: Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... d%27%29%7D
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed May 03, 2017 7:48 pm

2 Reasons The Emerging Markets Rally Has Legs

Emerging market stocks are cheap, and emerging market currencies favor returns going forward.


Source: Barrons.com

http://www.barrons.com/articles/2-reaso ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Emerging Markets 03 (Sep 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed May 10, 2017 9:58 am

Emerging Markets Or China Correction? Hedge Your Bets

Emerging market stocks are up 25% over the past 12 months. Some traders are positioning for a correction.

By Dimitra DeFotis

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund (EEM) up 25% over the past 12 months, and up nearly 16% just in 2017.

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Asia ETF (EEMA) is up 28% over the past year, and up nearly 20% this year.


Source: Barron's Asia

http://www.barrons.com/articles/emergin ... 1494376068
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