Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Apr 18)

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Fri Jan 26, 2018 7:56 am

When Investing Is Easy, You Should Be Nervous

by Wayne Duggan

FOMO traders have been pouring money into whichever assets have been generating the highest returns.


Source: U.S.News & World Report

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/investin ... 17521.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Sat Jan 27, 2018 9:23 pm

What Could Signal the End of This Rally?

By Ben Levisohn

Gluskin Sheff’s chief economist, David Rosenberg, notes that rising markets have made Americans feel wealthier, so they’ve been spending more and saving less. “This is a classic late-cycle development,” he says.

Investors have put $24 billion into equities during each of the two most recent weeks, notes Bernstein strategist Inigo Fraser-Jenkins, a big change from 2017, when they withdrew $9 billion during the last six months of the year.


Source: Barron's Asia

https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-c ... 1517020829
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Sat Jan 27, 2018 9:43 pm

The secret to better steaks… and higher returns

by Alexander Green

“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.”

The economic history of the modern world is one of long-term incremental progress. Unfortunately, “Long-Term Incremental Progress” doesn’t make a good headline.

So the next time you hear a scary news report accompanied by predictions of market chaos, treat it like you would a 5-pound tenderloin.

Give it at least 48 hours to marinate.


Source: Momentum Alert

http://thecrux.com/the-secret-to-better ... r-returns/
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Jan 30, 2018 8:37 pm

One Stat on the Bull Market That Should Make You Worried

The stock market continues to be explosive, despite the nosedive for the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday. Here is one stat on the bull market to consider right now.

By Brian Sozzi

It has been a record 398 trading days since the last 5% pullback in the S&P 500. That eclipses the prior record of 394 trading days realized during the dot.com bubble era in the late 1990s.

Since 1929, the average length without a 5% pullback in the S&P 500 has been 92 trading days.


Source: The Street

https://www.thestreet.com/story/1446634 ... rried.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Feb 06, 2018 7:43 pm

Here Is What Usually Stops a Stock Market Slide

By JIM CRAMER

1. Rates stop going higher.
2. Stocks keep going lower until they readjust.
3. Sharply higher-than-expected earnings
4. Apple (AAPL) stops going down


Source: The Street

https://realmoney.thestreet.com/article ... 2.21372961
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Mon Feb 12, 2018 10:46 pm

Eight signals to watch that the U.S. stock rout is over

1. FEWER NEW LOWS
2. SEARCHING OUT THE SECTORS: Strength in ex-Utilities
3. TECH TRIPS UP
4. VIX VISION
5. RELATION TO RATES
6. PANIC SAFE-HAVEN BUYING
7. MINDING MOMENTUM
8. TEST OF 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE


Source: Yahoo Finance

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/explaine ... 00173.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Tue Feb 13, 2018 8:45 pm

5 Things to Look for Before Buying Stocks Here

By JIM CRAMER

Before you buy a stock today, with the S&P 500 futures up huge but bonds not cooperating, remember what you need to see:

1. VIX going down and down hard -- much harder than it did on Friday.

2. All of key VIX derivatives calming down and going lower, particularly the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (UVXY) , the iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX) -- and most importantly, the VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN (TVIX) . If you see the volume dry up on these, it would be terrific.

3. An oil rally, as the oil decline was coincident with the S&P 500 futures declines for most of last week.

4. The dollar staying weak and not even coming near rallying.

5. Most importantly, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond going higher in price and lower in interest.

If you don't get all of these, then buying up high on top of the S&P 500 futures (which are up 34 points asI write this) would be a big mistake in my opinion and is just worth taking a pass on.

Source: The Street

https://realmoney.thestreet.com/article ... yptr=yahoo
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Fri Feb 23, 2018 3:01 pm

Smart Money Went Back to Selling After S&P 500 Rebounded Last Week

Hedge fund clients at Bank of America Corp., who dumped stocks at a record pace in late January before diving back in as markets headed toward their Feb. 8 bottom, were back in selling mode during last week’s rebound.

As hedge funds resumed backing away, other clients stepped in, with the biggest source of demand coming from companies themselves.

Pickup in corporate repurchases . Wealthy individuals continued to scoop up shares and institutional investors such as pensions turned net buyers for the first time in 16 weeks.




Source: Bloomberg

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/smart-mo ... 57252.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:22 pm

How to know when U.S. stocks will bottom, according to eight investing pros

By Michael Brush

Bottom line: It may be too early to give the all-clear

1. Seller fatigue
2. A flight to safety
3. That “big puke” moment
4. More fear
5. The price of insurance
6. A line in the sand
7. The TRIN


Source: Market Watch

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-t ... yptr=yahoo
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: Market Timing 05 (Jan 16 - Dec 18)

Postby winston » Wed Mar 28, 2018 8:22 pm

Based On History, Stocks Can Still Soar Dramatically — Even From These Levels

by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

One of the big tell-tale signs of the end of a speculative boom is when individual investors heavily commit to buying, like we saw during the dot-com boom in 1999.

Stock allocations have soared during this bull market. They went from around 40% at the 2009 bottom to more than 70% right now.

During the last “Melt Up” in stocks – when the market soared during the dot-com boom – stock allocations first broke above 70% in 1996. That was three-and-a-half years before the ultimate peak.

The last great Melt Up started from similar levels of stock ownership. That tells me that this red flag is simply a marker of where we are now – the beginning of today’s Melt Up in stocks. It’s not a sign of the end.

Based on history, stocks can still soar dramatically – even from these levels.


Source: Daily Wealth

http://dailytradealert.com/2018/03/28/b ... se-levels/
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 118528
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

PreviousNext

Return to Archives

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests

cron