Here's a note from the TA book by Robert Edwards and John Magee
Recovery rallies from "Panic" Bottoms are often capped by Triangles for those are periods in which doubt and indecision are prevalent. The doubt in such cases, however, is usually resolved in favor of renewed decline. "Panic" Bottoms seldom hold.
Note: Asscoiated with this quote is a chart from the "famous Selling Climax of October 1937"
- Panic Bottom
- Very upwards recovery that goes higher before the drop
- triangle formation
- exit triangle and go lower.
Thinking through the above, and putting it into the current market conditions.... are there any reasons why it should be better than 2007 levels?
If there aren't, then we should expect lower levels.... with situation under control..and pple accepting the downturn.