Market Timing 08 (Apr 2023 - Dec 26)

[winston]

Traders Should Be Buying This Dip (they’ll likely be well-rewarded in the weeks ahead)

by Jeff Clark

The main problem with the “buy the dip” philosophy: When it comes time to buy, you won’t want to.

Today, the NYMO and NAMO are in the same condition as they were in March. They’re both below their lower Bollinger Bands, and they’re both below -60.

This is happening after the S&P 500 has fallen 200 points in less than three weeks.

Admittedly, I am intermediate-term and longer-term bearish on the broad stock market.

There are fundamental issues that are likely to cause stock prices to languish for many months and years to come. But, that’s a topic for another day.

For now, with the proverbial rubber band stretched so far to the downside, I have to be bullish.

Traders should be buying this dip. They’ll likely be well rewarded in the weeks ahead.

Source: Jeff Clark Trader

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/08/20/ ... eks-ahead/

[behappyalways]

"The market ignores "higher and longer"? Bad data drives US stocks to rebound"

23.08.31【豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「市場無視“更高、更久”？ 爛數據推動美股反彈」

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cDBEi7b2GVQ

[winston]

Stocks face a laundry list of dangers and could slump within months, warns one elite investor

by Theron Mohamed

Stocks could slump within the next few months, says Tudor Investments' Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi.

Risks include AI disappointment, slower growth, and banking problems, the investor warns.

Inflation, a government shutdown, and a private-market shakeout could also cause problems, she says.

Source: Business Insider

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-f ... 51319.html

[winston]

Here's why stocks may surprise to the upside in September

by Seana Smith

September is historically the worst month for stocks.

Looking back to 1945, the S&P 500 has declined more than half the time in September, according to CFRA, with an average return of -0.73%.

But before you get caught up in seasonal market trends, September might not be as bad as history predicts.

Excitement around AI, cash on the sidelines, and Apple’s (AAPL) rumored brand-new iPhone, may be enough to buck September's usual downward trend.

The total assets in money market funds have risen dramatically this year, totaling $5.57 trillion as of Aug. 23.

Source: Yahoo Finance

https://investideas.net/forum/posting.p ... 16&t=10031

[winston]

It’s Almost Time to Buy Stocks

by Jeff Clark

On Tuesday, the VIX closed above its upper Bollinger Band. This will generate a broad stock market buy signal when it closes back inside the bands.

We’re now in position for another VIX buy signal at any moment.

If the bounce follows the same script as the previous buy signals, then the S&P 500 could be trading sharply higher by Halloween.

So, despite the bearish action we’ve witnessed all month, it looks like the stock market is setting up for a decent short-term bounce. We’ll look for an appropriate time to trade it.

Source: Jeff Clark Trader

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/09/30/ ... uy-stocks/

[winston]

History shows both large and small stocks can do well from here

But as this extreme unwinds, small caps should see the biggest gains.

And that makes small-cap stocks a good bet today.

Source: Daily Wealth

[winston]

Stocks Could Rally 20% Over the Next Year (based on history)

by Sean Michael Cummings

Septembers are tough for stocks – and last month was a real killer.

But stocks are likely to resume their rise from here.

Don’t get scared out of the market yet… If anything, history shows that now is a good time to buy.

Source: Daily Wealth

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/10/03/ ... ert.com%2F

[winston]

This Signal Has Been Reliably Bullish Over the Past 33 Years

by Sean Michael Cummings

CNN Business’ Fear & Greed Index. This gauge tracks seven different indicators – including volatility, momentum, and demand for “safe” investments, to name a few.

Investors are terrified today. The bad news may seem never-ending. But history suggests you shouldn’t join the panic.

The next leg up looks to be just around the corner… and all this negative sentiment should fuel the bull run to come.

Source: Daily Wealth

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/10/10/ ... -33-years/

[winston]

Stocks are bottoming and the market is approaching the perfect buying opportunity for investors, Fundstrat says

by Jennifer Sor

The perfect opportunity for investors to buy the dip in stocks is approaching, according to Fundstrat's Mark Newton.

The S&P 500 will drop to 4,200 before recovering, Newton said on CNBC Tuesday.

That's largely because the Fed is probably done hiking interest rates.

Source: Business Insider

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-b ... 42265.html

[winston]

The Pullback in Stocks May Not Last Much Longer

by Matt McCall

The put-to-call ratio jumped to more than 1.5 last Wednesday. That was its highest level since December 2022. And it was a clear sign that market fear had taken hold…

The last extreme in the put-to-call ratio was on December 21, 2022 – when it jumped above 1.5 for the first time in more than a year. That happened near the lows of a market pullback that had started earlier that month… And roughly seven months later, the S&P 500 was up 20%.

Clearly, folks are worried about the market right now. But historical trends indicate that now is not the time to panic. If the trend holds, we could be in for a sharp snapback rally in the near term.

Source: Daily Wealth

https://dailytradealert.com/2023/10/12/ ... ch-longer/