Risks Out There 07 (May 23 - Dec 26)

[winston]

The Threat of Market Structure

by Doug Kass

1. Passive Domination; About 75% of trading volume every day
2. Increased Crazy: Meme Stocks
3. Option Speculation Has Intensified: 0DTE (zero days to expiration)
4. Other Technological Advances Raise More Risks; Computer-generated investing strategies;
5. Heightened Risks of Expanded Transparency; Some of it is inaccurate.

Source: The Street

https://pro.thestreet.com/market-commen ... m_content=

[behappyalways]

Feds cuts 0.5% while Warren is selling....wonder if both have infor or insights that we don't have....

Anyway I think the funds will try to make the market to go up till end Sept for a good quarterly closing and then dump...

Trading the Close: Markets React To China, Institutions Dump Into Retail, Semi's Weak
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WuiT7W4NmS8&t=176s

[behappyalways]

Global optimism is finally counting down!

24.10.16【豐富│東南西北龍鳳配】Pt.1 全球樂觀情緒最後倒數！

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=x8TaAvJOZNk

[winston]

Veteran analyst issues dire warning about stocks

by Rob Lenihan

While Treasury securities paying 4% to almost 6% on various parts of the curve should have been enough to attract money away from stocks and into the safety of U.S. government bonds, she said, that isn’t what happened.

"Instead, market participants have become increasingly drunk on risk and alpha".

"The risk of being long and wrong in the stock market is much greater than the prospects of further long-term gains."

Source: The Street

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/veteran- ... 00104.html

[behappyalways]

Buffett may not claim to be a market timer, but he does have a sense when stocks are expensive and tends to load up on cash.
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1859581424849863049


It’s hard to blame him when stock valuations are looking like this.
https://x.com/LucidInvesting/status/1859582848157503780

[winston]

In a world fraught with risk, Trump will add to the bumps

Amid increasing geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions, investors are counting on the US central bank to keep printing money


Source: SCMP

https://www.scmp.com/opinion/world-opin ... e=homepage

[behappyalways]

Yields above 4.5% = concern

Above 4.75% = correction

Above 5% = danger
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1873713194914779193

[winston]

A sceptic’s guide to 2025: three risks to monitor

by Manpreet Gill

1. How Donald Trump implements his policy agenda;
2. How Chinese policymakers choose to respond to US tariffs and domestic growth challenges; 3. What path inflation will take during the year.

Source: Business Times

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/wealth ... ks-monitor

[behappyalways]

Buffett Is Worrying, Should You?
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/buffe ... should-you

[behappyalways]

2025 is full of great changes. Eurasia Group released the latest global top risk report: Without leadership,

2025充滿巨變 《歐亞集團》公布最新全球首要風險報告:沒有領導 TVBS文茜的世界財經周報 20250112

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=fxvo3hNtgTg