Page 6 of 25
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Aug 06, 2018 10:32 amby winston
Bonds: 2.95% versus 2.986%.
Bonds sold Wednesday after testing the 10 day EMA Tuesday.
Looked as it should be with the Fed hiking rates as the 10 year moved over 3% on the Wednesday close. Then they recovered into Friday, closing near the 10 day EMA.
A failure here means a downtrend is establishing and consummates a head and shoulders formed from late May.
Again, that is as it should be. Yields should rise, need to rise, to prevent a Fed induced inversion.
Historical: the last sub-2% rate was in November 2016 (1.867%).
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Aug 13, 2018 11:43 amby winston
Bonds: 2.873% versus 2.928%.
Bonds gapped upside in a flight to safety, closing just over the 50 day SMA.
Could be working on the right shoulder of a head and shoulders top spanning late May to present. Those often set up, don't often lead to major selling.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Aug 20, 2018 7:48 amby winston
Bonds: 2.864% versus 2.871%.
Bonds have returned to just below the 200 day SMA as of Friday, rallying for 2+ weeks off the selloff from late July.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Aug 27, 2018 8:41 amby winston
Bonds: 2.813% versus 2.828%.
Bonds are rallying, yields are falling even as the stock market hits new highs.
TLT gapped lower, tested the 200 day on the low, then rallied back up to a recovery high and earning the July peaks.
Bond yields should be rising, not falling, particularly with Powell saying the Fed should and will keep hiking.
Perhaps it is a case of the market knowing the Fed always overshoots. Perhaps.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:55 amby winston
Bonds: 2.86% versus 2.857%.
Gapped below the 200 day SMA Tuesday as bonds sold, yields rose.
Friday gapped over the 200 day SMA but then gave it up and lost ground.
Back to the 50 day SMA where it held after the gap lower.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:07 pmby winston
If You Want to Make Big Money, Consider This Contrarian Opportunityby Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds will crash from near 3% today to below 2% within the next six months.
This is the most contrarian bet I see in the markets today. So if you want to make big money, consider being bold and betting on lower interest rates. Shares of TLT are the simplest way to do it.
Source: DailyWealth.com
http://dailytradealert.com/2018/09/07/i ... portunity/
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Sep 10, 2018 9:59 amby winston
Bonds: 2.941% versus 2.879%. Gapped lower from the 200 day SMA Tuesday.
Tried to bounce through Thursday, then gapped to a lower low on this selling Friday.
Okay, this is as it should be: stronger data equals weaker bonds, higher yields.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Sep 10, 2018 9:59 amby winston
Bonds: 2.941% versus 2.879%. Gapped lower from the 200 day SMA Tuesday.
Tried to bounce through Thursday, then gapped to a lower low on this selling Friday.
Okay, this is as it should be: stronger data equals weaker bonds, higher yields.
Source: Investment House
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:12 pmby winston
While Jeff Gunlach doesn’t see the U.S. 10-year yield heading as low as 2.25 percent, “what could get you there is a monumental short squeeze, because the speculative short positioning in the 10-year is off the charts”
Source: Bloomberg
Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)
Posted:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 8:25 amby winston
Bonds: 3.00% versus 2.972%.
After bounce off the prior selling, touching the 10 day EMA on the Thursday high, bonds gapped sharply lower Friday, closing in on the early August low.
They should sell and rates should rise.
Source: Investment House