JPM Hikes Emerging Mkt Corporate High-yield Bond Default Rate to 9.7%, Predicts CN Property to Account for 40% of DefaultsIn the wake of the debt crisis in China's real estate sector, JPMorgan hiked its forecast for global emerging market corporate high-yield bond default rate this year from 6% to 9.7%, with China's property industry expected to account for nearly 40% of the year's corporate defaults, followed by Russia's 35% and Brazil's 12%.
JPM also raised its Asian high-yield default rate forecast from 4.1% to 10%, mainly due to the debt problems of COUNTRY GARDEN (02007.HK) and other knock-on effects to the mainland real estate industry.
A full default by CG would add US$9.9 billion to total emerging-market corporate high-yield defaults so far this year, and bring total Chinese property sector defaults to US$17 billion.
Related News - UBS: CG Bond Restructuring May Prompt Negative Spillover Impact; Rating Reiterated Sell
Source: AAStocks Financial News
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
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