Market Timing 08 (Apr 2023 - Dec 26)

[winston]

Hold Your Nose and Buy Stocks

by Jeff Clark

Whenever the major market indexes decline towards their 200 day moving averages during a bull market, it pays to be a buyer of stocks.

Both SPY and QQQ closed Monday near their 200-day moving averages. If we’re still in a bull market, then this will prove to be an outstanding time to buy stocks.

On the other hand, if we’re at the start of a bear market, then investors who buy right here might have to endure some short-term pain before they get an oversold bounce that allows them to exit the trades at near breakeven.

In other words, the risk/reward setup to buying into the current conditions is excellent.

Source: Jeff Clark Trader

https://tradesoftheday.com/2025/03/06/h ... uy-stocks/

[behappyalways]

"Nasdaq backtests the annual line. Has the bull story of US stocks changed?"

'25.03.06【豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「納斯達克回測年線 美股多頭故事改變？」

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=YUuXzYyC8So

[winston]

The Market Correction Is Just Getting Started

by Chris Johnson

The move below the Nasdaq 100’s 200-day puts us in a position to see this bearish trend for stock continue through March with a growing probability that the market will head lower through the first half of the year.

Stocks are ripe for a “dead cat bounce” that could last days, maybe even a week or two, but don’t fall for it!

It’s always better to let others call the bottom.

Here’s When You Get Back into Stocks
Method 1: The Trend is Your Friend Method
Method 2: The Momentum Method

If you are an active long-term investor you will want to wait until both the 50-day moving average has turned into a bullish trend AND the 20-day moving average has crossed above the 50-day moving average.

Cash is a position, especially in a bear market
Keep that in mind as you hold back on selling some of those high profit positions now.

Source: Money Morning

https://tradesoftheday.com/2025/03/12/t ... g-started/

[behappyalways]

"US stocks broke the annual line, just because of Trump?"

25.03.13【豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「美股破年線，只因川普？」

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=yRqnk4XKPuI

[behappyalways]

Reference is to secondary $SPX support of ~5365-5385, which would become relevant if the 200-day MA breaks decisively...
https://x.com/StocktonKatie/status/1899095525472800802


.
@StocktonKatie
shares some $SPX technical levels of support to keep an eye on with
@NPetallides
:
https://x.com/SchwabNetwork/status/1899490174708711676

[winston]

An Insanely Accurate Bullish Signal Just Flashed. Time to Buy?

by Luke Lango

Every time the market has fallen into oversold territory for the first time in over a year, then immediately rebounded (only spending one or two days oversold), stocks went on to rally over the next six and 12 months…

Right now, the data is pointing toward a fantastic buying opportunity and huge rally ahead.

We think that, by the end of the year, this week could prove the best week of the year to buy stocks. It’s time to get bullish!

Source: Investor Place

https://tradesoftheday.com/2025/03/14/a ... me-to-buy/

[winston]

Today’s Extreme Fear is Paving the Way for a Massive Opportunity

by Greg Diamond

The Fear & Greed Index is sitting around 20 right now. That’s the kind of “Extreme Fear” reading you usually expect to see during a major drawdown, such as a COVID-like crash.

With all the catalysts this month, the market is getting choppy. But that volatility is exactly what should hand us excellent trading opportunities.

Source: DailyWealth.com

https://dailytradealert.com/2025/03/14/ ... portunity/

[winston]

'Not currently priced in': What Wall Street is saying about Trump's April tariff deadline

by Josh Schafer

The big questions from investors headed into the expected announcements are to what extent does Trump impose levies on trading partners and whether the moves lead to further escalation of the trade war.

Goldman Sachs also believes markets will be surprised to the downside next week.

Source: Yahoo Finance

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/not-curr ... 02337.html

[winston]

Stock Market Turmoil: Why It’s Not Time to ‘Buy the Dip’

by Chris Johnson

It often takes months for investors to cross into the mindset that they feel absolute despair towards the market, which is the time that wise investors will be backing the truck up to buy stocks at deep discount prices.

There are two huge tests for each company announcing their results this quarter.
1. How did the company perform last quarter: Did revenue and earnings beat expectations and by how much, you know, the simple measures.
2. The second test is much more important, how will the new tariffs change the company’s outlook?

As it stands this morning, the S&P 500 is trying to maintain pricing above 5,000 – a critical psychological prices for the index – while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is trying to do the same at $400.

Breaks below these large round numbered prices will open each index to further selling pressure. Put simply, the path of resistance is lower by another 10-12% over the next month for each the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.

Source: Money Morning

https://dailytradealert.com/2025/04/08/ ... y-the-dip/

[winston]

4 Signs Suggesting That Stocks Are Finally Stabilizing

By Michele Schneider

1. HYG Settles Down
2. Growth Starts to Outpace Value
3. XRT or Consumer Sector Stabilizes
4. FFs Remain Above 3.75%

Source: investing.com

https://www.investing.com/analysis/4-si ... s_headline