The world economy is in the shadow of war and the warning signs are flashingGlobal growth is now projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027
by Leon Hadar
Countries in the conflict region face particularly sharp revisions. Iran, for instance, had its growth forecast cut by 7.2 percentage points, resulting in an expected contraction of 6.1 per cent.
Saudi Arabia’s growth outlook was slashed from 4.5 per cent to 3.1 per cent.
These are countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America that import energy and food, carry high levels of debt, and have limited fiscal cushioning to absorb shocks. For their populations, rising commodity prices do not mean higher petrol bills. They mean choosing between meals.
When fear takes hold, these entities can pull money out of emerging markets rapidly, triggering a vicious cycle of currency crashes, higher borrowing costs and financial instability.
Source: Business Times
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