Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 24)

[behappyalways]

China's 10-year government bond yield drops to the lowest since 2022. #China
https://twitter.com/Sino_Market/status/ ... 5721081955

[behappyalways]

Foreign ownership of US government bonds has been on the decline since 2015
https://twitter.com/Mayhem4Markets/stat ... 1928713502

[winston]

Bonds Are the Place to Be Right Now (Investment-Grade Corporate Bonds Are Yielding 6%)

by Marc Lichtenfeld

There were 9 million job openings in December, up from 8.9 million in November. Prior to the pandemic, there had never been 8 million jobs available in a month.

In January, employers added 353,000 jobs. That’s a big number, and it’s an increase from December’s 333,000. Wages are also up 4.5% over last year.

And corporate earnings are expected to have grown 4.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, while fourth quarter GDP was a robust 3.3%.

Should China’s woes make their way over to the U.S., the economy could hit the brakes and rates could in fact be lowered.

Investment-grade corporate bonds are yielding 6%. Non-investment-grade bonds rated BB or better are yielding more than 7%.

Source: Wealthy Retirement

https://dailytradealert.com/2024/02/08/ ... ielding-6/

[behappyalways]

2/2 US #bonds are heading thru 5% at 10y tenor (Orange). See how #termpremia (black) are rising too
https://twitter.com/crossbordercap/stat ... 7404642339

[behappyalways]

Bonds are not in a great place. We project 5 1/4% for US 10yr. Fall in rate expectations has stalled and now term premia (black line) are also rising
https://twitter.com/crossbordercap/stat ... 0293616046

[behappyalways]

I'm as guilty as anyone in putting together complex theories about what drives the 10-year yield.
https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/stat ... 4790547748

[winston]

TLT: Why Hold Long Bond ETFs in 2024?

by Kent Thune

TLT holds long-term Treasury bonds, and these bonds are particularly sensitive to interest rates. When interest rates fall, the price of long-term bonds tends to rise more than bonds with shorter maturities.

Risks of Holding TLT in 2024:-
1. Interest rate risk
2. Lower current yields

Source: Etf

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tlt-why- ... 00126.html

[behappyalways]

We believe #bonds are in a structural bear market that, absent intervention, will see yields rise for the next +20yrs and you need a new hedge. Note that on a total return basis ie plus interest, Treasuries have broken 35yr support vs #gold, and the next target is 20% lower!
https://x.com/JulianMI2/status/1791460420374462486

[behappyalways]

Japanese 10Y Yield Rises Above 1% For The First Time Since 2013
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/japan ... -time-2013


Starting today, Janet is back to selling notes and bonds again and damn does she have a lot to sell.
https://x.com/ces921/status/1793260479910932619


Global Bond Market On Verge Of Selloff As Commodities Reawaken
https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1793292012541657137

[behappyalways]

Yields Surge After Ugly 2Y Auction As Foreign Demand Tumbles
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/yield ... ers-slides


Ugly 5Y Auction Sends Yields To 2 Week High
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ugly- ... -week-high