Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Sep 24, 2018 1:16 pm

Bonds: 3.066% versus 3.068%. Bonds sold on the week, bouncing modestly late
but in a steady downtrend below the 10 day EMA.
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Sun Sep 30, 2018 9:54 pm

Bonds: 3.061% versus 3.052%.

Bonds rebounded sharply Wednesday and Thursday but Friday reversed for a loss after a gap above the 10 day EMA.

Bounced, but what is still there?

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Oct 15, 2018 8:47 am

Bonds: 3.167% versus 3.146%

After a rally off the fresh low, TLT faded Friday as yields moved up.

Still in a big 7 week bond decline.

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Oct 15, 2018 8:47 am

Bonds: 3.167% versus 3.146%

After a rally off the fresh low, TLT faded Friday as yields moved up.

Still in a big 7 week bond decline.

Source: Investment House
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Nov 12, 2018 9:53 am

Bonds: 3.186% versus 3.239%

This is an interesting turn.

Bonds sold to the early October low, then started to work laterally.

Friday they broke higher toward the 20 day EMA.

Trying to bottom and rally. Bonds rallying would be another indication of economic issues.

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Wed Dec 05, 2018 1:47 pm

4 reasons why the 10-year Treasury yield has tumbled below 3%—again

By Sunny Oh

Fears over a slowing global economy and a tightening Federal Reserve are stirring a rally in U.S. government debt


1. Global growth concerns
2. Fed set to pause hikes
3. Yield curve bets ramp up
4. Inflation fears fade


Source: Market Watch

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-rea ... yptr=yahoo
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Dec 24, 2018 10:24 am

Bonds: 2.788% versus 2.803%.

Ten year yields fell as bonds were purchased as a bit of a safe haven trade.

Bonds have surged off the lower low set in early September, with TLT now just below the July and August highs.

This despite the Fed tightening. Clearly the market believes the Fed does not have a handle on the selling.

Historical: the last sub-2% rate was in November 2016 (1.867%).

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jan 07, 2019 8:19 am

Bonds: 2.668% versus 2.552%.

After the strong Tuesday through Thursday break higher, bonds gapped lower to test the 10 day EMA with a doji.

Yields actually rose even as Powell indicated the Fed would be patient with hikes.

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jan 21, 2019 8:30 am

Bonds: 2.788% versus 2.752%.

Bonds continue fading the past two weeks after surging to that recovery high over the late summer peak.

Source: Investment House
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Re: Bonds 05 (Sep 17 - Dec 19)

Postby winston » Mon Jan 28, 2019 8:44 am

Bonds: 2.748% versus 2.734%.

Bonds mostly higher on the week though Friday were off.

Bouncing off the 2.5 week slide off the early January high.

Source: Investment House
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