US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Mar 20, 2020 12:19 pm

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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Sun Mar 22, 2020 5:51 pm

Coronavirus: Dow erases Trump presidency gains
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-51980671
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:38 am

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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:59 am

波音領軍美國道瓊2月來首度連續收紅! 台股大反彈賣超23億元連2天大漲收復9600點|主播丁士芬|【iStock盤前解析】20200326|三立iNEWS
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:22 am

Fed祭無限寬鬆政策救市...美國經濟能解危!? 台股反彈千點台積電月線關鍵...|主播丁士芬|【iStock盤前解析】20200327|三立iNEWS
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby winston » Sun Mar 29, 2020 9:06 am

What didn’t rally on the Dow’s best day ever?

Top performers popped more than 20% but there's a good chance it's only a dead cat bounce

By SPENGLER (DAVID P. GOLDMAN)

Perhaps the most important market parameter that failed to rally is the US dollar-Japanese yen cross-currency basis swap, the amount of yield that Japanese investors sacrifice to hedge US dollar coupon payments into Japanese yen.

European and Japanese banks have borrowed about $12 trillion from US banks to fund hedges, and the rush for cash shut this market down.

The Federal Reserve has pumped perhaps $100 billion in dollar liquidity into the market in the form of swap lines to foreign central banks, who in turn provide dollars for commercial banks.

Compared to a $12 trillion volume of net dollar borrowing by foreign banks, the Fed’s swap lines probably are too small to make a lasting difference.

Trillions of dollars of US securities held by foreigners are waiting to be sold, and it remains to be seen whether the Fed has the resources to engineer a soft landing.


Source: Asia Times

https://asiatimes.com/2020/03/what-didn ... dnFwIn0%3D
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby winston » Mon Mar 30, 2020 11:57 am

These indicators suggest a stock-market bottom, but coronavirus fears could send the S&P 500 swooning again

by Chris Matthews

“Right now, fundamentals don’t matter because there is very little clarity as to when the economy can restart — and depending on how long this goes — what the economy will look like when it does restart.”

“The severe indiscriminate selling we saw prior to last week has abated,” he said, noting that through last Monday, nearly every asset class, including gold, U.S. Treasury bonds and stocks were being sold off. “It was that classic capitulation move to cash”.

Another potential sign of a market bottom is action in currency markets, where the U.S. dollar has lost value in recent sessions after the Federal Reserve made aggressive moves to lower the cost of borrowing dollars and increase liquidity.

Other internal-market factors, including a contraction in the number of stocks trading at their 52 week lows, a weekly decline in the CBOE volatility index VIX, the firming up of global stock markets — including the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXPand the Nikkei NIK and commodity prices as signals the worst may be over.

“Another 10% to 20% decline is not out of the question, especially considering the growing number of disparaging forecasts and the crisis in confidence of governments’.




Source: Market Watch

https://finance.yahoo.com/m/585a1394-f0 ... est-a.html
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby winston » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:11 pm

U.S. pension funds may pour $400 billion into stocks, lifting virus-hit markets: JP Morgan

by Lewis Krauskopf

U.S. pension funds that delayed rebalancing their portfolios are likely to pump about $400 billion into stocks over the next two quarters, an

Some of the market's recent gains have come from quarter-end and month-end rebalancing.

Source: Reuters

https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/ ... ssion=true
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:20 am

Covid-19 is the trigger.

連假全球疫情升溫! 台股仍面臨修正壓力 大立光4月恐有衰退疑慮?! │主播丁士芬│【iStock盤前解析】20200406│三立iNEWS
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Re: US - Market Direction 42 (May 19 - Dec 20)

Postby behappyalways » Tue Apr 07, 2020 2:49 pm

美股道瓊飆漲1627點! 台股蓄勢反攻10000點大關│主播丁士芬│【iStock盤前解析】20200407│三立iNEWS
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