CICC: Reducing Need for Lower ST Open Mkt Operation Rates in CN by Policy Financial Tools
CICC wrote in a report that the market has been particularly concerned about the recent adjustment in policy rates.
The broker noted that investors who follow US interest rates are particularly concerned about inflation in terms of fundamental indicators, which is an important background indicator for interest rate adjustments.
In terms of market indicators, they are particularly concerned about the expectation of a rate cut implied by the interest rate futures market, which provides a precursor to the timing of a rate cut.
As for China's interest rates, CICC believed that nominal growth and asset prices are important background indicators for policy rate adjustments, while bill rates and derivatives quotes are important leading indicators.
However, given the diversity of China's monetary policy objectives, the focus of policy is different at different times, and the policy tools used are also different.
While the conditions are largely ripe for an internal interest rate cut, the recent release of policy financial instruments, as well as other interest rate reductions, have reduced the need for a general interest rate cut in the short term, such as a reduction in the policy rate.
CICC pointed out that to further track and judge the timing of the central bank's adjustment of the open market operating rate based on background indicators, it is also necessary to combine some of the market's prelude indicators, and that two types of indicators are worth paying attention to.
The first is the more sensitive capital market and credit market indicators, mainly referring to DR007 and bill rates.
The second category is derivatives quotes, which to a certain extent can gauge the market's expectation of policy rate adjustments.
Source: AAStocks Financial News
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN